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Over 85 NBA games since October 2025, Ace Bailey has gone over the posted 5.5 rebounds 30 times (35%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 4.5 rebounds across those 85 games. Their last 5 average 5.0, 22% below their 6.4 this season (13 games). Against the San Antonio Spurs in this log they have 4 games, averaging 5.5. These are measured box-score results from Utah Jazz games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 5:10 PM ET, at home against the San Antonio Spurs. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 85 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 rebounds | 76 of 85 (89%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | 62 of 85 (73%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 rebounds | 38 of 85 (45%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 5.5 rebounds | 30 of 85 (35%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 7.5 rebounds | 11 of 85 (13%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Ace Bailey right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Ace Bailey has averaged 5.0 rebounds over their last 5, 10% above their 4.5 across all 85 logged games.
Ace Bailey's rebounds vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.6 around 4.5. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5.0 rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 5.9 rebounds |
| All 85 logged games | 4.5 rebounds |
| Best in the log | 12 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (44 games) | 4.8 rebounds |
| Away (41 games) | 4.3 rebounds |
Ace Bailey's highest in this log is 12 rebounds against the Los Angeles Lakers on 2026-10-25, and the lowest is 0 against the Charlotte Hornets on 2025-11-02. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 rebounds |
|---|---|
| At home | 20 of 44 (45%) |
| On the road | 18 of 41 (44%) |
| On one day between games | 9 of 15 (60%) |
| On two or more days between games | 28 of 68 (41%) |
| Against the Memphis Grizzlies | 4 of 6 (67%) |
| Against the Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Houston Rockets | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the Los Angeles Lakers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Ace Bailey has cleared 4.5 rebounds at much the same rate home and away, 45% against 44%.
Short rest has suited them, 60% over 15 games on a single day between games against 41% over 68 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 6 games against the Memphis Grizzlies, 4 of them over 4.5 rebounds.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Ace Bailey has 4 logged games against the San Antonio Spurs, averaging 5.5 rebounds with a high of 6. Most recent first, those games read 6, 6, 6, 4. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Houston Rockets | Away | 3 |
| 2026-11-11 | Orlando Magic | Home | 7 |
| 2026-11-10 | Miami Heat | Home | 7 |
| 2026-11-08 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 2 |
| 2026-11-06 | Dallas Mavericks | Away | 6 |
| 2026-11-04 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 5 |
| 2026-11-02 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-28 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 6 |
| 2026-10-26 | Memphis Grizzlies | Home | 10 |
Every rebounds prop the books have posted for Ace Bailey of the Utah Jazz, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Ace Bailey props and hit rates · Every NBA rebounds prop
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