This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
Over 85 NBA games since October 2025, Ace Bailey has gone over the posted 1.5 three-pointers 45 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 1.9 three-pointers across those 85 games. Their last 5 average 2.0, 24% above their 1.6 this season (13 games). They have gone over 1.5 in each of their last 3. Against the San Antonio Spurs in this log they have 4 games, averaging 1.5. These are measured box-score results from Utah Jazz games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 5:10 PM ET, at home against the San Antonio Spurs. Last logged game November 13, 2 days before.
| Line | All 85 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 three-pointers | 67 of 85 (79%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 1.5 three-pointers | 45 of 85 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 2.5 three-pointers | 26 of 85 (31%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 3.5 three-pointers | 9 of 85 (11%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 4.5 three-pointers | 5 of 85 (6%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Ace Bailey right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Ace Bailey has averaged 2.0 three-pointers over their last 5, against 1.9 across all 85 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Ace Bailey's 3-pointers made swing widely: a standard deviation of 1.6 on a 1.9 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.0 three-pointers |
| Last 10 games | 1.7 three-pointers |
| All 85 logged games | 1.9 three-pointers |
| Best in the log | 7 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (44 games) | 2.4 three-pointers |
| Away (41 games) | 1.3 three-pointers |
Ace Bailey's highest in this log is 7 three-pointers against the Toronto Raptors on 2026-03-23, and the lowest is 0 against the Dallas Mavericks on 2026-11-06. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 1.5 three-pointers |
|---|---|
| At home | 29 of 44 (66%) |
| On the road | 16 of 41 (39%) |
| On one day between games | 11 of 15 (73%) |
| On two or more days between games | 33 of 68 (49%) |
| Against the Memphis Grizzlies | 5 of 6 (83%) |
| Against the Houston Rockets | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Against the Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Los Angeles Lakers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Ace Bailey has cleared 1.5 three-pointers 27 points more often at home, 66% in 44 home games against 39% in 41 away.
Short rest has suited them, 73% over 15 games on a single day between games against 49% over 68 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 6 games against the Memphis Grizzlies, 5 of them over 1.5 three-pointers.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Ace Bailey has 4 logged games against the San Antonio Spurs, averaging 1.5 three-pointers with a high of 2. Most recent first, those games read 1, 1, 2, 2. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | 3-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Houston Rockets | Away | 3 |
| 2026-11-11 | Orlando Magic | Home | 3 |
| 2026-11-10 | Miami Heat | Home | 3 |
| 2026-11-08 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 1 |
| 2026-11-06 | Dallas Mavericks | Away | 0 |
| 2026-11-04 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | Memphis Grizzlies | Home | 3 |
Every 3-pointers made prop the books have posted for Ace Bailey of the Utah Jazz, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Ace Bailey props and hit rates · Every NBA 3-pointers made prop
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.