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Over 85 logged NBA games, Jaden McDaniels has gone over 15.5 points 42 times (49%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 15.1 points across those 85 games. Their last 5 (14.6) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Timberwolves games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 85 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 points | 59 of 85 (69%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 15.5 points | 42 of 85 (49%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 27 of 85 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jaden McDaniels right now — the live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged 14.6 points over their last 5, against 15.1 across all 85 logged games — no meaningful move either way.
Jaden McDaniels's points varies moderately, a standard deviation of 6.6 around 15.1. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 14.6 points |
| Last 10 games | 16.6 points |
| All 85 logged games | 15.1 points |
| Best in the log | 32 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (42 games) | 15.2 points |
| Away (43 games) | 14.9 points |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 13 |
| 2026-05-12 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 17 |
| 2026-05-10 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 14 |
| 2026-05-08 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 17 |
| 2026-05-06 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 12 |
| 2026-05-04 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 16 |
| 2026-04-30 | Denver Nuggets | Home | 32 |
| 2026-04-27 | Denver Nuggets | Away | 13 |
| 2026-04-25 | Denver Nuggets | Home | 12 |
| 2026-04-23 | Denver Nuggets | Home | 20 |
Jaden McDaniels of the Minnesota Timberwolves in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. There is no line and no price on this page because none is posted; when one is, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played — no projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins — this is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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There is none posted at the moment, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Jaden McDaniels props and hit rates
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.