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With no line posted, over 98 NBA games since October 2025, Jaden McDaniels has gone over a balanced line of 15.5 points 50 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 15.3 points across those 98 games. Their last 5 (17.4) are in line with their 17.0 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone over 15.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Timberwolves games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 98 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 points | 82 of 98 (84%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 72 of 98 (73%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 15.5 points | 50 of 98 (51%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 27 of 98 (28%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 21.5 points | 13 of 98 (13%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jaden McDaniels right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged 17.4 points over their last 5, 14% above their 15.3 across all 98 logged games.
Jaden McDaniels's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.3 around 15.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 17.4 points |
| Last 10 games | 17.5 points |
| All 98 logged games | 15.3 points |
| Best in the log | 32 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (49 games) | 15.5 points |
| Away (49 games) | 15.2 points |
Jaden McDaniels's highest in this log is 32 points against the Denver Nuggets on 2026-04-30, and the lowest is 0 against the Milwaukee Bucks on 2025-12-21. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 15.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 26 of 49 (53%) |
| On the road | 24 of 49 (49%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 14 (50%) |
| On two or more days between games | 41 of 82 (50%) |
| Against the Denver Nuggets | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Against the San Antonio Spurs | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Against the Utah Jazz | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Against the Golden State Warriors | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the LA Clippers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Jaden McDaniels has cleared 15.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 53% against 49%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 50% on one day, 50% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 10 games against the Denver Nuggets, 6 of them over 15.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 18 |
| 2026-11-12 | Dallas Mavericks | Home | 16 |
| 2026-11-08 | Utah Jazz | Home | 16 |
| 2026-11-06 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 23 |
| 2026-11-04 | Houston Rockets | Away | 14 |
| 2026-11-02 | Milwaukee Bucks | Home | 13 |
| 2026-10-31 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 19 |
| 2026-10-30 | LA Clippers | Home | 23 |
| 2026-10-28 | Golden State Warriors | Home | 19 |
| 2026-10-26 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 14 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Jaden McDaniels of the Minnesota Timberwolves, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Jaden McDaniels props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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