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Over 18 NFL games since October 2025, Aaron Jones has gone over the posted 10.5 receiving yards 10 times (56%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 13.9 receiving yards across those 18 games. Their last 5 average 12.2, 12% below their 13.9 over their last 18 games. Against the Green Bay Packers in this log they have 2 games, averaging 8.0. These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Vikings games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Green Bay Packers. Last logged game November 9, 6 days before.
| Line | All 18 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receiving yards | 14 of 18 (78%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 receiving yards | 13 of 18 (72%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 11.5 receiving yards | 9 of 18 (50%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 20.5 receiving yards | 5 of 18 (28%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 22.5 receiving yards | 3 of 18 (17%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Aaron Jones right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Aaron Jones has averaged 12.2 receiving yards over their last 5, 12% below their 13.9 across all 18 logged games.
Aaron Jones's receiving yards swing widely: a standard deviation of 11.3 on a 13.9 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 12.2 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 11.3 receiving yards |
| All 18 logged games | 13.9 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 34 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (8 games) | 10.3 receiving yards |
| Away (10 games) | 16.8 receiving yards |
Aaron Jones's highest in this log is 34 receiving yards against the Miami Dolphins on 2026-10-04, and the lowest is 0 against the Indianapolis Colts on 2026-10-25. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 11.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 2 of 8 (25%) |
| On the road | 7 of 10 (70%) |
Aaron Jones has cleared 11.5 receiving yards 45 points more often on the road, 25% in 8 home games against 70% in 10 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Aaron Jones has 2 logged games against the Green Bay Packers, averaging 8.0 receiving yards with a high of 16. Most recent first, those games read 0, 16. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 5 |
| 2026-11-01 | Detroit Lions | Away | 18 |
| 2026-10-25 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | New Orleans Saints | Away | 4 |
| 2026-10-04 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 34 |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 34 |
| 2026-09-20 | Chicago Bears | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 0 |
| 2025-12-25 | Detroit Lions | Home | 10 |
| 2025-12-21 | New York Giants | Away | 8 |
Every receiving yards prop the books have posted for Aaron Jones of the Minnesota Vikings, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Aaron Jones props and hit rates · Every NFL receiving yards prop
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