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Over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown has gone over the posted 7.5 receptions 11 times (55%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 7.2 receptions across those 20 games. Their last 5 (7.6) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Detroit Lions games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 9:30 AM ET, at home against the New England Patriots. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 20 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptions | 18 of 20 (90%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 5.5 receptions | 15 of 20 (75%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 7.5 receptions | 11 of 20 (55%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 8.5 receptions | 8 of 20 (40%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 9.5 receptions | 3 of 20 (15%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Amon-Ra St. Brown right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 7.6 receptions over their last 5, against 7.2 across all 20 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions vary moderately, a standard deviation of 3.0 around 7.2. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 7.6 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 8.0 receptions |
| All 20 logged games | 7.2 receptions |
| Best in the log | 13 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (10 games) | 6.4 receptions |
| Away (10 games) | 7.9 receptions |
Amon-Ra St. Brown's highest in this log is 13 receptions against the Los Angeles Rams on 2025-12-14, and the lowest is 0 against the Green Bay Packers on 2025-11-27. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 7.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| On the road | 7 of 10 (70%) |
Amon-Ra St. Brown has cleared 7.5 receptions 30 points more often on the road, 40% in 10 home games against 70% in 10 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 8 |
| 2026-11-01 | Minnesota Vikings | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-25 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 9 |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 6 |
| 2026-10-04 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 8 |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Jets | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 9 |
| 2026-09-13 | New Orleans Saints | Home | 10 |
| 2026-01-04 | Chicago Bears | Away | 11 |
| 2025-12-25 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 8 |
Every receptions prop the books have posted for Amon-Ra St. Brown of the Detroit Lions, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Amon-Ra St. Brown props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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