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Over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Bryce Young has gone over the posted 1.5 passing touchdowns 10 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 1.6 passing touchdowns across those 20 games. Their last 5 (1.8) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the New Orleans Saints in this log they have 2 games, averaging 0.5. These are measured box-score results from Carolina Panthers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the New Orleans Saints. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 20 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 passing touchdowns | 17 of 20 (85%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 1.5 passing touchdowns | 10 of 20 (50%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 2.5 passing touchdowns | 6 of 20 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Bryce Young right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Bryce Young has averaged 1.8 passing touchdowns over their last 5, against 1.6 across all 20 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Bryce Young's passing TDs vary moderately, a standard deviation of 1.1 around 1.6. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1.8 passing touchdowns |
| Last 10 games | 1.9 passing touchdowns |
| All 20 logged games | 1.6 passing touchdowns |
| Best in the log | 3 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (10 games) | 1.8 passing touchdowns |
| Away (10 games) | 1.5 passing touchdowns |
Bryce Young's highest in this log is 3 passing touchdowns against the Denver Broncos on 2026-11-08, and the lowest is 0 against the Seattle Seahawks on 2025-12-28. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 1.5 passing touchdowns |
|---|---|
| At home | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| On the road | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Bryce Young has cleared 1.5 passing touchdowns 20 points more often at home, 60% in 10 home games against 40% in 10 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Bryce Young has 2 logged games against the New Orleans Saints, averaging 0.5 passing touchdowns with a high of 1. Most recent first, those games read 1, 0. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Denver Broncos | Home | 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | Green Bay Packers | Away | 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | Detroit Lions | Home | 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | Chicago Bears | Home | 3 |
| 2026-01-10 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 2 |
Every passing TDs prop the books have posted for Bryce Young of the Carolina Panthers, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Bryce Young props and hit rates · Every NFL passing TDs prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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