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Over 14 logged NFL games, Tyler Shough has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns 5 times (36%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 1.3 passing touchdowns across those 14 games. Their last 5 average 2.2, 71% above their 1.3 across the full log. Against the Atlanta Falcons in this log they have 2 games, averaging 0.5. These are measured box-score results from New Orleans Saints games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 14 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 passing touchdowns | 10 of 14 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 1.5 passing touchdowns | 5 of 14 (36%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 2.5 passing touchdowns | 2 of 14 (14%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 3.5 passing touchdowns | 1 of 14 (7%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Tyler Shough right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Tyler Shough has averaged 2.2 passing touchdowns over their last 5, 71% above their 1.3 across all 14 logged games.
Tyler Shough's passing TDs swings widely: a standard deviation of 1.2 on a 1.3 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.2 passing touchdowns |
| Last 10 games | 1.5 passing touchdowns |
| All 14 logged games | 1.3 passing touchdowns |
| Best in the log | 4 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (4 games) | 1.3 passing touchdowns |
| Away (9 games) | 1.3 passing touchdowns |
Tyler Shough's highest in this log is 4 passing touchdowns against the Las Vegas Raiders on 2026-09-27, and the lowest is 0 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on 2025-12-07. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
Tyler Shough has 2 logged games against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging 0.5 passing touchdowns with a high of 1. Most recent first, those games read 1, 0. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit Lions | Away | 3 |
| 2026-01-04 | Atlanta Falcons | — | 1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 2 |
| 2025-12-21 | New York Jets | Away | 1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Carolina Panthers | Home | 1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 0 |
Every passing TDs prop the books have posted for Tyler Shough of the New Orleans Saints, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Tyler Shough props and hit rates · Every NFL passing TDs prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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