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Over 15 logged NFL games, Christian Watson has gone over 47.5 receiving yards 8 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 65.2 receiving yards across those 15 games. Their last 5 average 73.4, 13% above their 65.2 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from Green Bay Packers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 15 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 29.5 receiving yards | 13 of 15 (87%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 41.5 receiving yards | 11 of 15 (73%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 47.5 receiving yards | 8 of 15 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 80.5 receiving yards | 5 of 15 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 96.5 receiving yards | 2 of 15 (13%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Christian Watson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Christian Watson has averaged 73.4 receiving yards over their last 5, 13% above their 65.2 across all 15 logged games.
Christian Watson's receiving yards varies moderately, a standard deviation of 34.3 around 65.2. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 73.4 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 69.5 receiving yards |
| All 15 logged games | 65.2 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 147 |
| Worst in the log | 17 |
| Home (6 games) | 63.7 receiving yards |
| Away (9 games) | 66.2 receiving yards |
Christian Watson's highest in this log is 147 receiving yards against the Minnesota Vikings on 2026-09-13, and the lowest is 17 against the Chicago Bears on 2025-12-21. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 47.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 6 (67%) |
| On the road | 4 of 9 (44%) |
Christian Watson has cleared 47.5 receiving yards 23 points more often at home, 67% in 6 home games against 44% in 9 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 47 |
| 2026-09-25 | Atlanta Falcons | Home | 96 |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets | Away | 41 |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 147 |
| 2026-01-11 | Chicago Bears | Away | 36 |
| 2025-12-28 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 113 |
| 2025-12-21 | Chicago Bears | Home | 17 |
| 2025-12-14 | Denver Broncos | Away | 29 |
| 2025-12-07 | Chicago Bears | Away | 89 |
| 2025-11-27 | Detroit Lions | Home | 80 |
Christian Watson of the Green Bay Packers in receiving yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. There is no line and no price on this page because none is posted; when one is, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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There is none posted at the moment, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Christian Watson props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.