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Over 22 logged NFL games, Christian McCaffrey has gone over 43.5 receiving yards 11 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it once (10%). They average 51.5 receiving yards across those 22 games. Their last 5 average 41.8, 19% below their 51.5 across the full log. They have gone under 43.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from San Francisco 49ers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 22 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 receiving yards | 15 of 22 (68%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 43.5 receiving yards | 11 of 22 (50%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 66.5 receiving yards | 6 of 22 (27%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Christian McCaffrey right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Christian McCaffrey has averaged 41.8 receiving yards over their last 5, 19% below their 51.5 across all 22 logged games.
Christian McCaffrey's receiving yards varies moderately, a standard deviation of 21.6 around 51.5. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 41.8 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 34.8 receiving yards |
| All 22 logged games | 51.5 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 92 |
| Worst in the log | 14 |
| Home (9 games) | 58.3 receiving yards |
| Away (12 games) | 47.8 receiving yards |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 41 |
| 2026-09-20 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 43 |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 20 |
| 2026-01-18 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 39 |
| 2026-01-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 66 |
| 2026-01-04 | Seattle Seahawks | — | 34 |
| 2025-12-29 | Chicago Bears | Home | 41 |
| 2025-12-23 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 29 |
| 2025-12-14 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 14 |
| 2025-11-30 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 21 |
Christian McCaffrey of the San Francisco 49ers in receiving yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. There is no line and no price on this page because none is posted; when one is, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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There is none posted at the moment, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Christian McCaffrey props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.