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With no line posted, over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Jake Ferguson has gone over a balanced line of 16.5 receiving yards 11 times (55%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 23.2 receiving yards across those 20 games. Their last 5 average 12.8, 45% below their 23.2 over their last 20 games. These are measured box-score results from Dallas Cowboys games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the San Francisco 49ers. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 20 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 receiving yards | 17 of 20 (85%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 11.5 receiving yards | 14 of 20 (70%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 16.5 receiving yards | 11 of 20 (55%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 29.5 receiving yards | 6 of 20 (30%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 43.5 receiving yards | 3 of 20 (15%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jake Ferguson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jake Ferguson has averaged 12.8 receiving yards over their last 5, 45% below their 23.2 across all 20 logged games.
Jake Ferguson's receiving yards swing widely: a standard deviation of 17.8 on a 23.2 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 12.8 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 14.7 receiving yards |
| All 20 logged games | 23.2 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 60 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (9 games) | 32.8 receiving yards |
| Away (11 games) | 15.4 receiving yards |
Jake Ferguson's highest in this log is 60 receiving yards against the Philadelphia Eagles on 2025-11-23, and the lowest is 0 against the Philadelphia Eagles on 2026-10-26. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 16.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 8 of 9 (89%) |
| On the road | 3 of 11 (27%) |
Jake Ferguson has cleared 16.5 receiving yards 62 points more often at home, 89% in 9 home games against 27% in 11 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 21 |
| 2026-10-26 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | Green Bay Packers | Away | 13 |
| 2026-10-08 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 19 |
| 2026-10-04 | Houston Texans | Away | 11 |
| 2026-09-27 | Baltimore Ravens | Home | 23 |
| 2026-09-20 | Washington Commanders | Home | 43 |
| 2026-09-13 | New York Giants | Away | 6 |
| 2026-01-04 | New York Giants | Away | 5 |
| 2025-12-25 | Washington Commanders | Away | 6 |
Jake Ferguson of the Dallas Cowboys in receiving yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Jake Ferguson props and hit rates · Every NFL receiving yards prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.