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With no line posted, over 19 NFL games since October 2025, Keaton Mitchell has gone over a balanced line of 19.5 rushing yards 10 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 26.9 rushing yards across those 19 games. Their last 5 average 18.6, 31% below their 26.9 over their last 19 games. These are measured box-score results from Los Angeles Chargers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Monday, November 16, 8:15 PM ET, on the road against the Baltimore Ravens. Last logged game November 8, 8 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 19 | 26.9 rushing yards | Over 19.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Rush Attempts | 19 | 5.4 carries | Over 4.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Receiving Yards | 19 | 8.5 receiving yards | Over 0.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Receptions | 19 | 1.4 receptions | Over 0.5 | 11 of 19 (58%) |
| Targets | 19 | 1.7 targets | Over 1.5 | 8 of 19 (42%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 10.5 | 14 of 19 (74%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 19.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 31.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 2.5 | 15 of 19 (79%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 4.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 6.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 0.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 1.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 12.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receptions | Over 0.5 | 11 of 19 (58%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 8 of 19 (42%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 5 of 19 (26%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Targets | Over 0.5 | 13 of 19 (68%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Targets | Over 1.5 | 8 of 19 (42%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Targets | Over 2.5 | 7 of 19 (37%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Every market measured for Keaton Mitchell, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Houston Texans | Home | 33 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 6 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | Denver Broncos | Home | 11 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 4 |
| 2026-10-04 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 39 | 10 | 24 | 5 | 6 |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 52 | 8 | -5 | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 24 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Counted from the same 19 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 2 |
| 25th percentile | 10 |
| Median | 24 |
| 75th percentile | 39 |
| Highest logged game | 76 |
11 of 19 games (58%) landed between 10 and 39; 10 (53%) finished at or above the 24 median, and the spread from 2 to 76 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Keaton Mitchell actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 3 | 18 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 28.3 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 46.5 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 22.8 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 42.5 | 66 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 39 | 76 |
Most-faced in this log is Cincinnati Bengals, 2 games at 42.5, best of 66. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 24 median rather than a posted line, Keaton Mitchell's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 19 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 5.4 | 2.5 | mixed | 19 |
| rushing yards | 26.9 | 20.5 | volatile | 19 |
| targets | 1.7 | 1.7 | volatile | 19 |
| receptions | 1.4 | 1.5 | volatile | 19 |
| receiving yards | 8.5 | 10.5 | volatile | 19 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 5 markets measured here, averaging 5.4 with a spread of 2.5; their receiving yards swings most, 8.5 with a spread of 10.5. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Keaton Mitchell has gone over 19.5 rushing yards in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 26.4 over 9 games; away, 27.3 over 10.
Keaton Mitchell rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Keaton Mitchell has gone over 4.5 carries in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 5.0 over 9 games; away, 5.7 over 10.
Keaton Mitchell rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Keaton Mitchell has gone over 0.5 receiving yards in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 9.8 over 9 games; away, 7.3 over 10.
Keaton Mitchell receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Keaton Mitchell has gone over 0.5 receptions in 11 of 19 logged games (58%).
At home they average 1.1 over 9 games; away, 1.6 over 10.
Keaton Mitchell receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Keaton Mitchell has gone over 1.5 targets in 8 of 19 logged games (42%).
At home they average 1.4 over 9 games; away, 2.0 over 10.
Keaton Mitchell targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Keaton Mitchell of the Los Angeles Chargers. What follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions and Targets: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Keaton Mitchell, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.