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With no line posted, over 22 NFL games since October 2025, Luther Burden III has gone over a balanced line of 0.5 rushing yards 9 times (41%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 2.5 rushing yards across those 22 games. Their last 5 average 1.8, 28% below their 2.5 over their last 22 games. These are measured box-score results from Chicago Bears games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the New Orleans Saints. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 22 | 2.5 rushing yards | Over 0.5 | 9 of 22 (41%) |
| Rush Attempts | 22 | 0.7 carries | Over 0.5 | 12 of 22 (55%) |
| Receiving Yards | 22 | 57.4 receiving yards | Over 47.5 | 12 of 22 (55%) |
| Receptions | 22 | 4.3 receptions | Over 3.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) |
| Targets | 22 | 6.0 targets | Over 5.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) |
| Receiving TDs | 22 | 0.2 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 5 of 22 (23%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 22 | 5 of 22 (23%) | No line, yes or no | 23% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 0.5 | 9 of 22 (41%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 1.5 | 9 of 22 (41%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 2.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 0.5 | 12 of 22 (55%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 1.5 | 1 of 22 (5%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 2.5 | 1 of 22 (5%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 35.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 47.5 | 12 of 22 (55%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 63.5 | 6 of 22 (27%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receptions | Over 4.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receptions | Over 5.5 | 6 of 22 (27%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Targets | Over 4.5 | 16 of 22 (73%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Targets | Over 5.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Targets | Over 7.5 | 5 of 22 (23%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 0.5 | 5 of 22 (23%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Every market measured for Luther Burden III, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 0 | 0 | 97 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 0 | 0 | 56 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | New England Patriots | Home | 7 | 1 | 130 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 0 | 0 | 95 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers | Away | 2 | 4 | 47 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | New York Jets | Home | 11 | 1 | 63 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 7 | 1 | 61 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Minnesota Vikings | Home | 0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Receiving Yards | 1 | 22.0 | 22 | 57.4 |
| Receptions | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 4.3 |
| Rush Attempts | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.7 |
| Rushing Yards | 1 | -1.0 | -1 | 2.5 |
| Targets | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6.0 |
Counted from the same 22 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | -4 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| 75th percentile | 3 |
| Highest logged game | 15 |
15 of 22 games (68%) landed between 0 and 3; 20 (91%) finished at or above the 0 median, and the spread from -4 to 15 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Luther Burden III actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 5 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 3 |
| January 2026 | 3 | 2 |
| December 2025 | 3 | 1 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 4.5 |
| October 2025 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Most-faced in this log is Green Bay Packers, 3 games at 0.3, best of 3. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 0 median rather than a posted line, Luther Burden III's longest run at or above it is 10 games and the run open at the newest of the 22 is 10. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| targets | 6.0 | 2.4 | mixed | 22 |
| receptions | 4.3 | 2.0 | mixed | 22 |
| receiving yards | 57.4 | 33.5 | mixed | 22 |
| rushing yards | 2.5 | 4.5 | volatile | 22 |
Their targets is the steadiest of the 4 markets measured here, averaging 6.0 with a spread of 2.4; their rushing yards swings most, 2.5 with a spread of 4.5. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Luther Burden III has gone over 0.5 rushing yards in 9 of 22 logged games (41%).
At home they average 3.8 over 12 games; away, 1.0 over 10.
Luther Burden III rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luther Burden III has gone over 0.5 carries in 12 of 22 logged games (55%).
At home they average 0.7 over 12 games; away, 0.7 over 10.
Luther Burden III rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luther Burden III has gone over 47.5 receiving yards in 12 of 22 logged games (55%).
At home they average 57.3 over 12 games; away, 57.6 over 10.
Luther Burden III receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luther Burden III has gone over 3.5 receptions in 13 of 22 logged games (59%).
At home they average 3.9 over 12 games; away, 4.8 over 10.
Luther Burden III receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luther Burden III has gone over 5.5 targets in 13 of 22 logged games (59%).
At home they average 6.1 over 12 games; away, 5.9 over 10.
Luther Burden III targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luther Burden III has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 5 of 22 logged games (23%).
At home they average 0.3 over 12 games; away, 0.2 over 10.
Luther Burden III has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 22 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 3 of 12 games; away, 2 of 10.
Luther Burden III anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Luther Burden III of the Chicago Bears. What follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Luther Burden III, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.