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Over 24 NFL games since October 2025, Kyren Williams has gone over the posted 15.5 carries 7 times (29%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 14.5 carries across those 24 games. Their last 5 (14.6) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Arizona Cardinals in this log they have 3 games, averaging 11.7. These are measured box-score results from Los Angeles Rams games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:05 PM ET, on the road against the Arizona Cardinals. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | 24 | 14.5 carries | Over 13.5 | 11 of 24 (46%) |
| Receiving Yards | 24 | 20.5 receiving yards | Over 16.5 | 12 of 24 (50%) |
| Receptions | 24 | 2.7 receptions | Over 2.5 | 10 of 24 (42%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | Over 12.5 | 16 of 24 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 13.5 | 11 of 24 (46%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 15.5 | 7 of 24 (29%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 11.5 | 16 of 24 (67%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 16.5 | 12 of 24 (50%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 22.5 | 7 of 24 (29%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 18 of 24 (75%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 10 of 24 (42%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 4 of 24 (17%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market Kyren Williams is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Washington Commanders | Away | 15 | 16 | 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 16 | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Las Vegas Raiders | Away | 16 | 22 | 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 10 | 17 | 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 16 | 27 | 6 |
| 2026-10-04 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 16 | 67 | 10 |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos | Away | 15 | 70 | 6 |
| 2026-09-21 | New York Giants | Home | 12 | 12 | 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 11 | 24 | 3 |
| 2026-01-25 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 10 | 22 | 2 |
| 2026-01-18 | Chicago Bears | Away | 21 | 30 | 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 13 | 18 | 2 |
| 2026-01-04 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 12 | 21 | 3 |
| 2025-12-29 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 13 | 38 | 3 |
| 2025-12-18 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 23 | 15 | 3 |
| 2025-12-14 | Detroit Lions | Home | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 3 | 17.0 | 21 | 20.5 |
| Receptions | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | 2.7 |
| Rush Attempts | 3 | 11.7 | 13 | 14.5 |
Counted from the same 24 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 10 |
| 25th percentile | 12 |
| Median | 13 |
| 75th percentile | 16 |
| Highest logged game | 25 |
18 of 24 games (75%) landed between 12 and 16; 16 (67%) finished at or above the 13 median, and the spread from 10 to 25 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Kyren Williams actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 14.5 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 12.7 |
| January 2026 | 4 | 14 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 16 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 15.2 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 15 | 23 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 11.7 | 13 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 13 | 13 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 12.5 | 14 |
Most-faced in this log is Seattle Seahawks, 3 games at 15, best of 23. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 13 median rather than a posted line, Kyren Williams's longest run at or above it is 5 games and the run open at the newest of the 24 is 3. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 14.5 | 3.7 | steady | 24 |
| receptions | 2.7 | 2.1 | volatile | 24 |
| receiving yards | 20.5 | 17.7 | volatile | 24 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 3 markets measured here, averaging 14.5 with a spread of 3.7; their receiving yards swings most, 20.5 with a spread of 17.7. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Kyren Williams has gone over 13.5 carries in 11 of 24 logged games (46%).
At home they average 14.1 over 10 games; away, 14.8 over 14.
Kyren Williams rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kyren Williams has gone over 16.5 receiving yards in 12 of 24 logged games (50%).
At home they average 12.1 over 10 games; away, 26.4 over 14.
Kyren Williams receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kyren Williams has gone over 2.5 receptions in 10 of 24 logged games (42%).
At home they average 2.1 over 10 games; away, 3.1 over 14.
Kyren Williams receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Kyren Williams of the Los Angeles Rams. The books are currently pricing Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards and Receptions lines for Kyren Williams, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards and Receptions. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.