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Travis Kelce has recorded a anytime touchdown in 7 of 20 logged NFL games (35%), including 3 of their last 10. That is a record of games already played, not a forecast of the next one.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 20 | 54.1 receiving yards | Over 54.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) |
| Receptions | 20 | 4.5 receptions | Over 4.5 | 9 of 20 (45%) |
| Targets | 20 | 6.3 targets | Over 5.5 | 12 of 20 (60%) |
| Receiving TDs | 20 | 0.3 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 7 of 20 (35%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 20 | 7 games | — | — |
Every market Travis Kelce is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 59 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 101 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Denver Broncos | Home | 71 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Las Vegas Raiders | — | 12 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Denver Broncos | Away | 36 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 70 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Houston Texans | Home | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Counted from the same 20 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Month | Logged games | Games with one |
|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 3 | 3 of 3 games |
| December 2025 | 4 | 0 of 4 games |
| November 2025 | 4 | 4 of 4 games |
| October 2025 | 4 | 4 of 4 games |
| September 2025 | 4 | 4 of 4 games |
| Opponent | Logged games | Games with one | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 3 of 3 games | 1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 2 of 2 games | 1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 2 of 2 games | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 0 of 2 games | 0 |
Most-faced in this log is Denver Broncos, 3 games at 0.3, best of 1. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Travis Kelce has gone over 54.5 receiving yards in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).
At home they average 60.2 over 11 games; away, 51.0 over 8.
Travis Kelce receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Travis Kelce has gone over 4.5 receptions in 9 of 20 logged games (45%).
At home they average 4.7 over 11 games; away, 4.4 over 8.
Travis Kelce receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Travis Kelce has gone over 5.5 targets in 12 of 20 logged games (60%).
At home they average 6.6 over 11 games; away, 5.9 over 8.
Travis Kelce targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Travis Kelce has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 7 of 20 logged games (35%).
At home they average 0.4 over 11 games; away, 0.4 over 8.
Travis Kelce has a anytime touchdown in 7 of 20 logged games.
At home they average 0.4 over 11 games; away, 0.4 over 8.
Travis Kelce anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Travis Kelce of the Kansas City Chiefs. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price — when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Not while the NFL board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market — the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.