Patrick Mahomes player props and hit rates

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Patrick Mahomes has recorded a anytime touchdown in 14 of 17 logged NFL games (82%), including 7 of their last 10. That is a record of games already played, not a forecast of the next one.

No NFL props are posted right now, so this page is the measured history on its own. The live board returns here automatically the morning after the books open this market again — the page is rebuilt daily and the URL does not change.

Measured history as of 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

Every market Patrick Mahomes is priced in

Patrick Mahomes — measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
Passing Yards17258.8 passing yardsOver 257.59 of 17 (53%)
Passing TDs171.7 passing touchdownsOver 1.58 of 17 (47%)
Completions1722.5 completionsOver 22.59 of 17 (53%)
Pass Attempts1735.3 pass attemptsOver 34.58 of 17 (47%)
Interceptions170.8 interceptionsOver 0.510 of 17 (59%)
Rushing Yards1727.2 rushing yardsOver 23.59 of 17 (53%)
Rushing TDs170.4 rushing touchdownsOver 0.56 of 17 (35%)
Rush Attempts174.4 carriesOver 4.57 of 17 (41%)
Anytime Touchdown1714 games——

Patrick Mahomes's last 8 games, market by market

Every market Patrick Mahomes is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.

Patrick Mahomes — recent games across every priced market
DateOpponentVenuePassing YardsPassing TDsCompletionsPass AttemptsInterceptionsRushing YardsRushing TDsRush AttemptsAnytime Touchdown
2026-09-27Miami DolphinsAway2462202411011
2026-09-21Indianapolis ColtsHome38233247017021
2026-09-15Denver BroncosHome18421527123171
2025-12-14Los Angeles ChargersAway18901628115121
2025-12-08Houston TexansHome16001433359070
2025-11-27Dallas CowboysHome26142334030031
2025-11-23Indianapolis ColtsAway35202946130040
2025-11-16Denver BroncosHome2761294513011

Patrick Mahomes anytime touchdown: the shape of the log

Counted from the same 17 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.

Patrick Mahomes by month

Patrick Mahomes — anytime touchdown by calendar month, newest first
MonthLogged gamesGames with one
September 202633 of 3 games
November 202544 of 4 games
October 202544 of 4 games
September 202544 of 4 games

Opponents Patrick Mahomes has faced most

Patrick Mahomes — anytime touchdown against the opponents this log has seen more than once
OpponentLogged gamesGames with oneBest
Denver Broncos22 of 2 games1
Los Angeles Chargers22 of 2 games1
Indianapolis Colts22 of 2 games1

Most-faced in this log is Denver Broncos, 2 games at 1, best of 1. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.

Patrick Mahomes passing yards

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 257.5 passing yards in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).

  • Over 224.5 passing yards: 12 of 17 (71%)
  • Over 257.5 passing yards: 9 of 17 (53%)
  • Over 276.5 passing yards: 5 of 17 (29%)

At home they average 256.2 over 10 games; away, 262.4 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Patrick Mahomes passing TDs

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 8 of 17 logged games (47%).

  • Over 0.5 passing touchdowns: 13 of 17 (76%)
  • Over 1.5 passing touchdowns: 8 of 17 (47%)
  • Over 2.5 passing touchdowns: 6 of 17 (35%)

At home they average 2.4 over 10 games; away, 0.7 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Patrick Mahomes completions

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 22.5 completions in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).

  • Over 16.5 completions: 12 of 17 (71%)
  • Over 22.5 completions: 9 of 17 (53%)
  • Over 25.5 completions: 5 of 17 (29%)

At home they average 22.7 over 10 games; away, 22.1 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Patrick Mahomes pass attempts

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 34.5 pass attempts in 8 of 17 logged games (47%).

  • Over 30.5 pass attempts: 12 of 17 (71%)
  • Over 34.5 pass attempts: 8 of 17 (47%)
  • Over 37.5 pass attempts: 5 of 17 (29%)

At home they average 35.1 over 10 games; away, 35.6 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Patrick Mahomes interceptions

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 10 of 17 logged games (59%).

  • Over 0.5 interceptions: 10 of 17 (59%)
  • Over 1.5 interceptions: 2 of 17 (12%)
  • Over 2.5 interceptions: 1 of 17 (6%)

At home they average 0.8 over 10 games; away, 0.7 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Patrick Mahomes rushing yards

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 23.5 rushing yards in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).

  • Over 5.5 rushing yards: 12 of 17 (71%)
  • Over 23.5 rushing yards: 9 of 17 (53%)
  • Over 30.5 rushing yards: 5 of 17 (29%)

At home they average 29.3 over 10 games; away, 24.3 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Patrick Mahomes rushing TDs

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 0.5 rushing touchdowns in 6 of 17 logged games (35%).

  • Over 0.5 rushing touchdowns: 6 of 17 (35%)

At home they average 0.3 over 10 games; away, 0.4 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes rush attempts

Patrick Mahomes has gone over 4.5 carries in 7 of 17 logged games (41%).

  • Over 2.5 carries: 12 of 17 (71%)
  • Over 4.5 carries: 7 of 17 (41%)
  • Over 5.5 carries: 6 of 17 (35%)

At home they average 4.9 over 10 games; away, 3.6 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Patrick Mahomes anytime touchdown

Patrick Mahomes has a anytime touchdown in 14 of 17 logged games.

At home they average 0.9 over 10 games; away, 0.7 over 7.

Patrick Mahomes anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Prop history for Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Completions, Pass Attempts, Interceptions, Rushing Yards, Rushing TDs, Rush Attempts and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price — when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

Are there Patrick Mahomes props available right now?

Not while the NFL board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market — the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.

What does Patrick Mahomes's game log actually show?

How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.

Is this Patrick Mahomes history a prediction?

No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.

How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.