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Over 21 NFL games since October 2025, Trevor Lawrence has gone over the posted 1.5 passing touchdowns 13 times (62%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 2.1 passing touchdowns across those 21 games. Their last 5 (2.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Tennessee Titans in this log they have 2 games, averaging 2.5. These are measured box-score results from Jacksonville Jaguars games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Tennessee Titans. Last logged game November 5, 10 days before.
| Line | All 21 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 passing touchdowns | 18 of 21 (86%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 1.5 passing touchdowns | 13 of 21 (62%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 2.5 passing touchdowns | 9 of 21 (43%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 3.5 passing touchdowns | 3 of 21 (14%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 4.5 passing touchdowns | 1 of 21 (5%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Trevor Lawrence right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Trevor Lawrence has averaged 2.2 passing touchdowns over their last 5, against 2.1 across all 21 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Trevor Lawrence's passing TDs vary moderately, a standard deviation of 1.4 around 2.1. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.2 passing touchdowns |
| Last 10 games | 2.4 passing touchdowns |
| All 21 logged games | 2.1 passing touchdowns |
| Best in the log | 5 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (12 games) | 2.8 passing touchdowns |
| Away (9 games) | 1.2 passing touchdowns |
Trevor Lawrence's highest in this log is 5 passing touchdowns against the New York Jets on 2025-12-14, and the lowest is 0 against the Denver Broncos on 2026-09-20. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 2.5 passing touchdowns |
|---|---|
| At home | 7 of 12 (58%) |
| On the road | 2 of 9 (22%) |
Trevor Lawrence has cleared 2.5 passing touchdowns 36 points more often at home, 58% in 12 home games against 22% in 9 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Trevor Lawrence has 2 logged games against the Tennessee Titans, averaging 2.5 passing touchdowns with a high of 3. Most recent first, those games read 3, 2. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | Houston Texans | Home | 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | New England Patriots | Home | 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Denver Broncos | Away | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 4 |
| 2026-01-11 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 3 |
| 2026-01-04 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 3 |
Every passing TDs prop the books have posted for Trevor Lawrence of the Jacksonville Jaguars, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Trevor Lawrence props and hit rates · Every NFL passing TDs prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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