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Over 14 logged NFL games, Tyler Shough has gone over 23.5 completions 7 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 22.3 completions across those 14 games. Their last 5 average 27.2, 22% above their 22.3 across the full log. They have gone over 23.5 in each of their last 3. Against the Atlanta Falcons in this log they have 2 games, averaging 26.5. These are measured box-score results from New Orleans Saints games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 14 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 completions | 12 of 14 (86%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 17.5 completions | 10 of 14 (71%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 23.5 completions | 7 of 14 (50%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 27.5 completions | 4 of 14 (29%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 30.5 completions | 2 of 14 (14%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Tyler Shough right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Tyler Shough has averaged 27.2 completions over their last 5, 22% above their 22.3 across all 14 logged games.
Tyler Shough's completions varies moderately, a standard deviation of 8.8 around 22.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 27.2 completions |
| Last 10 games | 26.1 completions |
| All 14 logged games | 22.3 completions |
| Best in the log | 35 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (4 games) | 20.8 completions |
| Away (9 games) | 22.9 completions |
Tyler Shough's highest in this log is 35 completions against the Detroit Lions on 2026-09-13, and the lowest is 0 against the Seattle Seahawks on 2025-09-21. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
Tyler Shough has 2 logged games against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging 26.5 completions with a high of 30. Most recent first, those games read 23, 30. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 29 |
| 2026-09-20 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 27 |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit Lions | Away | 35 |
| 2026-01-04 | Atlanta Falcons | — | 23 |
| 2025-12-28 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 22 |
| 2025-12-21 | New York Jets | Away | 32 |
| 2025-12-14 | Carolina Panthers | Home | 24 |
| 2025-12-07 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 13 |
| 2025-11-30 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 26 |
| 2025-11-23 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 30 |
Every completions prop the books have posted for Tyler Shough of the New Orleans Saints, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Tyler Shough props and hit rates · Every NFL completions prop
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