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With no line posted, over 82 NBA games since October 2025, Nikola Vučević has gone over a balanced line of 11.5 points 42 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it zero times (0%). They average 12.6 points across those 82 games. Their last 5 average 2.0, 25% below their 2.7 this season (12 games). They have gone under 11.5 in each of their last 18. These are measured box-score results from Orlando Magic games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 82 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 points | 69 of 82 (84%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 7.5 points | 59 of 82 (72%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 11.5 points | 42 of 82 (51%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 16.5 points | 25 of 82 (30%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 12 of 82 (15%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Nikola Vučević right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Nikola Vučević has averaged 2.0 points over their last 5, 84% below their 12.6 across all 82 logged games.
Nikola Vučević's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 8.0 around 12.6. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.0 points |
| Last 10 games | 3.2 points |
| All 82 logged games | 12.6 points |
| Best in the log | 35 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (44 games) | 13.5 points |
| Away (38 games) | 11.6 points |
Nikola Vučević's highest in this log is 35 points against the Utah Jazz on 2026-01-14, and the lowest is 0 against the Golden State Warriors on 2026-11-07. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 11.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 24 of 44 (55%) |
| On the road | 18 of 38 (47%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 13 (54%) |
| On two or more days between games | 34 of 66 (52%) |
| Against the Philadelphia 76ers | 1 of 9 (11%) |
| Against the Charlotte Hornets | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the New York Knicks | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Nikola Vučević has cleared 11.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 55% against 47%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 54% on one day, 52% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 9 games against the Philadelphia 76ers, 1 of them over 11.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Milwaukee Bucks | Home | 2 |
| 2026-11-11 | Utah Jazz | Away | 3 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 5 |
| 2026-11-07 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 0 |
| 2026-11-05 | Phoenix Suns | Away | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | Washington Wizards | Home | 7 |
| 2026-11-01 | Boston Celtics | Home | 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | Toronto Raptors | Away | 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | Toronto Raptors | Away | 5 |
| 2026-10-25 | New York Knicks | Away | 5 |
Nikola Vučević of the Orlando Magic in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Nikola Vučević props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.