This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
With no line posted, over 75 NBA games since October 2025, Trey Murphy III has gone over a balanced line of 20.5 points 38 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it twice (20%). They average 20.8 points across those 75 games. Their last 5 average 17.6, 15% below their 20.8 over their last 75 games. These are measured box-score results from New Orleans Pelicans games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 75 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 points | 64 of 75 (85%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 16.5 points | 55 of 75 (73%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 38 of 75 (51%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 23.5 points | 23 of 75 (31%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 27.5 points | 11 of 75 (15%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Trey Murphy III right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Trey Murphy III has averaged 17.6 points over their last 5, 15% below their 20.8 across all 75 logged games.
Trey Murphy III's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 8.1 around 20.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 17.6 points |
| Last 10 games | 15.3 points |
| All 75 logged games | 20.8 points |
| Best in the log | 44 |
| Worst in the log | 6 |
| Home (39 games) | 20.8 points |
| Away (36 games) | 20.8 points |
Trey Murphy III's highest in this log is 44 points against the Milwaukee Bucks on 2026-02-04, and the lowest is 6 against the Denver Nuggets on 2026-10-28. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 20.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 20 of 39 (51%) |
| On the road | 18 of 36 (50%) |
| On one day between games | 5 of 12 (42%) |
| On two or more days between games | 33 of 60 (55%) |
| Against the Denver Nuggets | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the LA Clippers | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Memphis Grizzlies | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Trey Murphy III has cleared 20.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 51% against 50%.
Rest has suited them, 42% over 12 games on a single day between games against 55% over 60 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the Denver Nuggets, 3 of them over 20.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | LA Clippers | Away | 26 |
| 2026-11-06 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Home | 10 |
| 2026-11-02 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 18 |
| 2026-10-31 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 15 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sacramento Kings | Home | 19 |
| 2026-10-28 | Denver Nuggets | Home | 6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Denver Nuggets | Away | 26 |
| 2026-10-23 | Utah Jazz | Away | 9 |
| 2026-10-21 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 11 |
| 2026-04-03 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 13 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Trey Murphy III of the New Orleans Pelicans, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Trey Murphy III props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.