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With no line posted, over 22 NFL games since October 2025, Bo Nix has gone over a balanced line of 214.5 passing yards 11 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 219.9 passing yards across those 22 games. Their last 5 average 182.2, 17% below their 219.9 over their last 22 games. They have gone over 214.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Denver Broncos games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Line | All 22 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 131.5 passing yards | 19 of 22 (86%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 174.5 passing yards | 15 of 22 (68%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 214.5 passing yards | 11 of 22 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 247.5 passing yards | 7 of 22 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 295.5 passing yards | 3 of 22 (14%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Bo Nix right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Bo Nix has averaged 182.2 passing yards over their last 5, 17% below their 219.9 across all 22 logged games.
Bo Nix's passing yards cluster tightly around it: most games land within 67.7 of 219.9. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 182.2 passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 200.9 passing yards |
| All 22 logged games | 219.9 passing yards |
| Best in the log | 352 |
| Worst in the log | 107 |
| Home (12 games) | 237.3 passing yards |
| Away (10 games) | 198.9 passing yards |
Bo Nix's highest in this log is 352 passing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars on 2025-12-21, and the lowest is 107 against the Seattle Seahawks on 2026-10-15. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 214.5 passing yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 8 of 12 (67%) |
| On the road | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Bo Nix has cleared 214.5 passing yards 37 points more often at home, 67% in 12 home games against 30% in 10 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Bo Nix has 2 logged games against the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging 181.0 passing yards with a high of 212. Most recent first, those games read 212, 150. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 237 |
| 2026-11-01 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 222 |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 222 |
| 2026-10-15 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 107 |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 123 |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | 214 |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 186 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 288 |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 131 |
| 2026-01-17 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 279 |
Bo Nix of the Denver Broncos in passing yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Bo Nix props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.