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With no line posted, over 22 NFL games since October 2025, Bo Nix has gone over a balanced line of 214.5 passing yards 11 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 219.9 passing yards across those 22 games. Their last 5 average 182.2, 17% below their 219.9 over their last 22 games. They have gone over 214.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Denver Broncos games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 22 | 219.9 passing yards | Over 214.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) |
| Passing TDs | 22 | 1.4 passing touchdowns | Over 1.5 | 8 of 22 (36%) |
| Completions | 22 | 21.5 completions | Over 20.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | 22 | 35.0 pass attempts | Over 32.5 | 12 of 22 (55%) |
| Interceptions | 22 | 0.5 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | 22 | 18.2 rushing yards | Over 10.5 | 10 of 22 (45%) |
| Rushing TDs | 22 | 0.3 rushing touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 5 of 22 (23%) |
| Rush Attempts | 22 | 4.7 carries | Over 4.5 | 10 of 22 (45%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 22 | 5 of 22 (23%) | No line, yes or no | 23% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 174.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 214.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 247.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 0.5 | 18 of 22 (82%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 1.5 | 8 of 22 (36%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 2.5 | 3 of 22 (14%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Completions | Over 17.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Completions | Over 20.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Completions | Over 25.5 | 6 of 22 (27%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 29.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 32.5 | 12 of 22 (55%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 37.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Interceptions | Over 0.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Interceptions | Over 1.5 | 1 of 22 (5%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 6.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 10.5 | 10 of 22 (45%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 16.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Rushing TDs | Over 0.5 | 5 of 22 (23%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
Every market measured for Bo Nix, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | Pass Attempts | Interceptions | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs | Rush Attempts | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 237 | 2 | 25 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026-11-01 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 222 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 222 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 0 | 73 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 107 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 123 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | 214 | 1 | 25 | 42 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 186 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 288 | 1 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 2 | 23.5 | 31 | 21.5 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Pass Attempts | 2 | 33.0 | 38 | 35.0 |
| Passing TDs | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Passing Yards | 2 | 181.0 | 212 | 219.9 |
| Rush Attempts | 2 | 4.0 | 5 | 4.7 |
| Rushing TDs | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Rushing Yards | 2 | 6.5 | 15 | 18.2 |
Counted from the same 22 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Passing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 107 |
| 25th percentile | 173 |
| Median | 214 |
| 75th percentile | 279 |
| Highest logged game | 352 |
12 of 22 games (55%) landed between 173 and 279; 12 (55%) finished at or above the 214 median, and the spread from 107 to 352 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Bo Nix actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 166.5 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 201.7 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 262 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 234.8 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 233.3 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 3 to 4 days | 3 | 146.3 |
| 5 or more days | 18 | 234.7 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 207.5 | 295 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 320 | 352 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 181 | 212 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 132 | 141 |
Most-faced in this log is Kansas City Chiefs, 4 games at 207.5, best of 295. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 214 median rather than a posted line, Bo Nix's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 22 is 3. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pass attempts | 35.0 | 7.3 | steady | 22 |
| completions | 21.5 | 5.0 | steady | 22 |
| passing yards | 219.9 | 67.7 | steady | 22 |
| rush attempts | 4.7 | 2.5 | mixed | 22 |
| passing TDs | 1.4 | 1.1 | volatile | 22 |
| rushing yards | 18.2 | 19.4 | volatile | 22 |
Their pass attempts is the steadiest of the 6 markets measured here, averaging 35.0 with a spread of 7.3; their rushing yards swings most, 18.2 with a spread of 19.4. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Bo Nix has gone over 214.5 passing yards in 11 of 22 logged games (50%).
At home they average 237.3 over 12 games; away, 198.9 over 10.
Bo Nix passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 8 of 22 logged games (36%).
At home they average 1.7 over 12 games; away, 1.1 over 10.
Bo Nix passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has gone over 20.5 completions in 11 of 22 logged games (50%).
At home they average 21.1 over 12 games; away, 22.1 over 10.
Bo Nix completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has gone over 32.5 pass attempts in 12 of 22 logged games (55%).
At home they average 34.8 over 12 games; away, 35.1 over 10.
Bo Nix pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 11 of 22 logged games (50%).
At home they average 0.6 over 12 games; away, 0.5 over 10.
Bo Nix interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has gone over 10.5 rushing yards in 10 of 22 logged games (45%).
At home they average 14.3 over 12 games; away, 23.0 over 10.
Bo Nix rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has gone over 0.5 rushing touchdowns in 5 of 22 logged games (23%).
At home they average 0.3 over 12 games; away, 0.3 over 10.
Bo Nix rushing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has gone over 4.5 carries in 10 of 22 logged games (45%).
At home they average 5.1 over 12 games; away, 4.3 over 10.
Bo Nix rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Bo Nix has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 22 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 2 of 12 games; away, 3 of 10.
Bo Nix anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Bo Nix of the Denver Broncos. What follows is the record in Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Completions, Pass Attempts, Interceptions, Rushing Yards, Rushing TDs, Rush Attempts and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Bo Nix, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.