This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
With no line posted, over 17 NFL games since October 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over a balanced line of 28.5 receiving yards 9 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 35.4 receiving yards across those 17 games. Their last 5 average 7.4, 79% below their 35.4 over their last 17 games. They have gone under 28.5 in each of their last 5. These are measured box-score results from Jacksonville Jaguars games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Tennessee Titans. Last logged game November 1, 14 days before.
| Line | All 17 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receiving yards | 15 of 17 (88%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 17.5 receiving yards | 12 of 17 (71%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 28.5 receiving yards | 9 of 17 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 40.5 receiving yards | 5 of 17 (29%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 55.5 receiving yards | 3 of 17 (18%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Brian Thomas Jr. right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Brian Thomas Jr. has averaged 7.4 receiving yards over their last 5, 79% below their 35.4 across all 17 logged games.
Brian Thomas Jr.'s receiving yards swing widely: a standard deviation of 26.5 on a 35.4 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 7.4 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 22.6 receiving yards |
| All 17 logged games | 35.4 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 90 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (11 games) | 36.7 receiving yards |
| Away (6 games) | 32.8 receiving yards |
Brian Thomas Jr.'s highest in this log is 90 receiving yards against the Seattle Seahawks on 2025-10-12, and the lowest is 0 against the Houston Texans on 2026-10-18. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 28.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 6 of 11 (55%) |
| On the road | 3 of 6 (50%) |
Brian Thomas Jr. has cleared 28.5 receiving yards at much the same rate home and away, 55% against 50%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Brian Thomas Jr. has 2 logged games against the Tennessee Titans, averaging 38.5 receiving yards with a high of 49. Most recent first, those games read 49, 28. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 12 |
| 2026-10-18 | Houston Texans | Home | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 17 |
| 2026-09-27 | New England Patriots | Home | 8 |
| 2026-09-20 | Denver Broncos | Away | 40 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 40 |
| 2026-01-11 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 21 |
| 2026-01-04 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 49 |
| 2025-12-28 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 39 |
Brian Thomas Jr. of the Jacksonville Jaguars in receiving yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Brian Thomas Jr. props and hit rates · Every NFL receiving yards prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.