This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
With no line posted, over 17 NFL games since October 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over a balanced line of 28.5 receiving yards 9 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 35.4 receiving yards across those 17 games. Their last 5 average 7.4, 79% below their 35.4 over their last 17 games. They have gone under 28.5 in each of their last 5. These are measured box-score results from Jacksonville Jaguars games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Tennessee Titans. Last logged game November 1, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 17 | 35.4 receiving yards | Over 28.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Receptions | 17 | 2.6 receptions | Over 2.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Targets | 17 | 4.5 targets | Over 3.5 | 8 of 17 (47%) |
| Receiving TDs | 17 | 0.3 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 17 | 5 of 17 (29%) | No line, yes or no | 29% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | Over 17.5 | 12 of 17 (71%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 28.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 40.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 13 of 17 (76%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 3 of 17 (18%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Targets | Over 2.5 | 12 of 17 (71%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Targets | Over 3.5 | 8 of 17 (47%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Targets | Over 6.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 0.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market measured for Brian Thomas Jr., on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Houston Texans | Home | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | New England Patriots | Home | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Denver Broncos | Away | 40 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 40 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Receiving Yards | 2 | 38.5 | 49 | 35.4 |
| Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | 2.6 |
| Targets | 2 | 4.0 | 5 | 4.5 |
Counted from the same 17 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 17 |
| Median | 31 |
| 75th percentile | 49 |
| Highest logged game | 90 |
9 of 17 games (53%) landed between 17 and 49; 9 (53%) finished at or above the 31 median, and the spread from 0 to 90 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Brian Thomas Jr. actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 3 | 5.7 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 29.3 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 52.5 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 46 | 87 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 38.5 | 49 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 29 | 40 |
Most-faced in this log is Indianapolis Colts, 3 games at 46, best of 87. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 31 median rather than a posted line, Brian Thomas Jr.'s longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 17 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| targets | 4.5 | 2.6 | mixed | 17 |
| receptions | 2.6 | 1.8 | mixed | 17 |
| receiving yards | 35.4 | 26.5 | volatile | 17 |
Their targets is the steadiest of the 3 markets measured here, averaging 4.5 with a spread of 2.6; their receiving yards swings most, 35.4 with a spread of 26.5. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over 28.5 receiving yards in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).
At home they average 36.7 over 11 games; away, 32.8 over 6.
Brian Thomas Jr. receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over 2.5 receptions in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).
At home they average 2.5 over 11 games; away, 2.7 over 6.
Brian Thomas Jr. receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over 3.5 targets in 8 of 17 logged games (47%).
At home they average 4.4 over 11 games; away, 4.8 over 6.
Brian Thomas Jr. targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 5 of 17 logged games (29%).
At home they average 0.4 over 11 games; away, 0.2 over 6.
Brian Thomas Jr. has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 17 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 4 of 11 games; away, 1 of 6.
Brian Thomas Jr. anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Brian Thomas Jr. of the Jacksonville Jaguars. What follows is the record in Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Brian Thomas Jr., it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.