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With no line posted, over 19 NFL games since October 2025, Jaylin Noel has gone over a balanced line of 1.5 receptions 11 times (58%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 2.1 receptions across those 19 games. Their last 5 average 3.2, 52% above their 2.1 over their last 19 games. They have gone over 1.5 in each of their last 5. These are measured box-score results from Houston Texans games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 19 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receptions | 15 of 19 (79%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 1.5 receptions | 11 of 19 (58%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 2.5 receptions | 7 of 19 (37%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 3.5 receptions | 5 of 19 (26%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 4.5 receptions | 2 of 19 (11%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jaylin Noel right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jaylin Noel has averaged 3.2 receptions over their last 5, 52% above their 2.1 across all 19 logged games.
Jaylin Noel's receptions swing widely: a standard deviation of 1.7 on a 2.1 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.2 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 2.0 receptions |
| All 19 logged games | 2.1 receptions |
| Best in the log | 5 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (9 games) | 2.1 receptions |
| Away (10 games) | 2.1 receptions |
Jaylin Noel's highest in this log is 5 receptions against the Tennessee Titans on 2026-10-11, and the lowest is 0 against the New England Patriots on 2026-01-18. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 1.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 9 (56%) |
| On the road | 6 of 10 (60%) |
Jaylin Noel has cleared 1.5 receptions at much the same rate home and away, 56% against 60%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | New York Giants | Home | 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Away | 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 5 |
| 2026-10-04 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 2 |
| 2026-01-18 | New England Patriots | Away | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 1 |
Jaylin Noel of the Houston Texans in receptions, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Jaylin Noel props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.