Justin Jefferson player props and hit rates

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Justin Jefferson has recorded a anytime touchdown in 3 of 20 logged NFL games (15%), including 1 of their last 10. That is a record of games already played, not a forecast of the next one.

No NFL props are posted right now, so this page is the measured history on its own. The live board returns here automatically the morning after the books open this market again — the page is rebuilt daily and the URL does not change.

Measured history as of 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

Every market Justin Jefferson is priced in

Justin Jefferson — measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
Receiving Yards2061.4 receiving yardsOver 55.510 of 20 (50%)
Receptions204.8 receptionsOver 4.510 of 20 (50%)
Targets207.9 targetsOver 7.511 of 20 (55%)
Receiving TDs200.2 receiving touchdownsOver 0.53 of 20 (15%)
Anytime Touchdown203 games——

Justin Jefferson's last 8 games, market by market

Every market Justin Jefferson is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.

Justin Jefferson — recent games across every priced market
DateOpponentVenueReceiving YardsReceptionsTargetsReceiving TDsAnytime Touchdown
2026-09-27Tampa Bay BuccaneersAway322200
2026-09-20Chicago BearsAway553600
2026-09-13Green Bay PackersHome928921
2026-01-04Green Bay Packers—10181100
2025-12-25Detroit LionsHome304500
2025-12-21New York GiantsHome856800
2025-12-15Dallas CowboysAway222800
2025-12-07Washington CommandersAway112400

Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown: the shape of the log

Counted from the same 20 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.

Justin Jefferson by month

Justin Jefferson — anytime touchdown by calendar month, newest first
MonthLogged gamesGames with one
September 202633 of 3 games
December 202540 of 4 games
November 202555 of 5 games
October 202530 of 3 games
September 202544 of 4 games

Opponents Justin Jefferson has faced most

Justin Jefferson — anytime touchdown against the opponents this log has seen more than once
OpponentLogged gamesGames with oneBest
Chicago Bears33 of 3 games1
Green Bay Packers33 of 3 games1
Detroit Lions22 of 2 games1

Most-faced in this log is Chicago Bears, 3 games at 0.3, best of 1. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.

Justin Jefferson receiving yards

Justin Jefferson has gone over 55.5 receiving yards in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).

  • Over 37.5 receiving yards: 14 of 20 (70%)
  • Over 55.5 receiving yards: 10 of 20 (50%)
  • Over 79.5 receiving yards: 6 of 20 (30%)

At home they average 56.4 over 8 games; away, 61.4 over 11.

Justin Jefferson receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Justin Jefferson receptions

Justin Jefferson has gone over 4.5 receptions in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).

  • Over 3.5 receptions: 14 of 20 (70%)
  • Over 4.5 receptions: 10 of 20 (50%)
  • Over 5.5 receptions: 7 of 20 (35%)

At home they average 4.8 over 8 games; away, 4.6 over 11.

Justin Jefferson receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Justin Jefferson targets

Justin Jefferson has gone over 7.5 targets in 11 of 20 logged games (55%).

  • Over 6.5 targets: 13 of 20 (65%)
  • Over 7.5 targets: 11 of 20 (55%)
  • Over 9.5 targets: 6 of 20 (30%)

At home they average 7.8 over 8 games; away, 7.7 over 11.

Justin Jefferson targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Justin Jefferson receiving TDs

Justin Jefferson has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 3 of 20 logged games (15%).

  • Over 0.5 receiving touchdowns: 3 of 20 (15%)
  • Over 1.5 receiving touchdowns: 1 of 20 (5%)

At home they average 0.4 over 8 games; away, 0.1 over 11.

Justin Jefferson receiving TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown

Justin Jefferson has a anytime touchdown in 3 of 20 logged games.

At home they average 0.3 over 8 games; away, 0.1 over 11.

Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Prop history for Justin Jefferson of the Minnesota Vikings. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price — when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

Are there Justin Jefferson props available right now?

Not while the NFL board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market — the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.

What does Justin Jefferson's game log actually show?

How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.

Is this Justin Jefferson history a prediction?

No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.

How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.