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With no line posted, over 22 NFL games since October 2025, Sam Darnold has gone over a balanced line of 213.5 passing yards 11 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 225.1 passing yards across those 22 games. Their last 5 (217.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Seattle Seahawks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:05 PM ET, on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 2, 13 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 22 | 225.1 passing yards | Over 213.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) |
| Passing TDs | 22 | 1.4 passing touchdowns | Over 1.5 | 9 of 22 (41%) |
| Completions | 22 | 18.5 completions | Over 18.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | 22 | 29.3 pass attempts | Over 28.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) |
| Interceptions | 22 | 0.9 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) |
| Rushing Yards | 22 | 6.5 rushing yards | Over 2.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) |
| Rush Attempts | 22 | 2.2 carries | Over 2.5 | 10 of 22 (45%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 188.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 213.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 270.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 0.5 | 16 of 22 (73%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 1.5 | 9 of 22 (41%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 2.5 | 4 of 22 (18%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Completions | Over 16.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Completions | Over 18.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Completions | Over 20.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 26.5 | 14 of 22 (64%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 28.5 | 11 of 22 (50%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 34.5 | 6 of 22 (27%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Interceptions | Over 0.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Interceptions | Over 1.5 | 5 of 22 (23%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Interceptions | Over 2.5 | 1 of 22 (5%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 1.5 | 15 of 22 (68%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 2.5 | 13 of 22 (59%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 7.5 | 7 of 22 (32%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Every market measured for Sam Darnold, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | Pass Attempts | Interceptions | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Chicago Bears | Home | 188 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 257 | 1 | 20 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos | Away | 278 | 0 | 27 | 51 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 195 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 168 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders | Away | 379 | 4 | 31 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | New England Patriots | Home | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | New England Patriots | Away | 202 | 1 | 19 | 38 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
Counted from the same 22 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Passing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 13 |
| 25th percentile | 178 |
| Median | 213 |
| 75th percentile | 278 |
| Highest logged game | 379 |
12 of 22 games (55%) landed between 178 and 278; 12 (55%) finished at or above the 213 median, and the spread from 13 to 379 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Sam Darnold actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 224.5 |
| January 2026 | 3 | 222.7 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 234.3 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 231.8 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 298.3 | 346 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 172.3 | 198 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 354.5 | 379 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 107.5 | 202 |
Most-faced in this log is Los Angeles Rams, 3 games at 298.3, best of 346. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 213 median rather than a posted line, Sam Darnold's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 22 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| completions | 18.5 | 6.4 | steady | 22 |
| passing yards | 225.1 | 81.4 | mixed | 22 |
| pass attempts | 29.3 | 10.6 | mixed | 22 |
| rush attempts | 2.2 | 1.5 | mixed | 22 |
| passing TDs | 1.4 | 1.2 | volatile | 22 |
| rushing yards | 6.5 | 7.2 | volatile | 22 |
Their completions is the steadiest of the 6 markets measured here, averaging 18.5 with a spread of 6.4; their rushing yards swings most, 6.5 with a spread of 7.2. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Sam Darnold has gone over 213.5 passing yards in 11 of 22 logged games (50%).
At home they average 195.9 over 12 games; away, 260.1 over 10.
Sam Darnold passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sam Darnold has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 9 of 22 logged games (41%).
At home they average 1.2 over 12 games; away, 1.7 over 10.
Sam Darnold passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sam Darnold has gone over 18.5 completions in 11 of 22 logged games (50%).
At home they average 15.9 over 12 games; away, 21.7 over 10.
Sam Darnold completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sam Darnold has gone over 28.5 pass attempts in 11 of 22 logged games (50%).
At home they average 25.6 over 12 games; away, 33.8 over 10.
Sam Darnold pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sam Darnold has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 13 of 22 logged games (59%).
At home they average 0.8 over 12 games; away, 1.1 over 10.
Sam Darnold interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sam Darnold has gone over 2.5 rushing yards in 13 of 22 logged games (59%).
At home they average 5.7 over 12 games; away, 7.5 over 10.
Sam Darnold rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sam Darnold has gone over 2.5 carries in 10 of 22 logged games (45%).
At home they average 2.0 over 12 games; away, 2.4 over 10.
Sam Darnold rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Sam Darnold of the Seattle Seahawks. What follows is the record in Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Completions, Pass Attempts, Interceptions, Rushing Yards and Rush Attempts: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Sam Darnold, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.