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With no line posted, over 21 NFL games since October 2025, Caleb Williams has gone over a balanced line of 247.5 passing yards 11 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 246.6 passing yards across those 21 games. Their last 5 (255.4) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Chicago Bears games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the New Orleans Saints. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 21 | 246.6 passing yards | Over 247.5 | 11 of 21 (52%) |
| Passing TDs | 21 | 1.5 passing touchdowns | Over 1.5 | 12 of 21 (57%) |
| Completions | 21 | 20.5 completions | Over 19.5 | 12 of 21 (57%) |
| Pass Attempts | 21 | 34.4 pass attempts | Over 34.5 | 10 of 21 (48%) |
| Interceptions | 21 | 0.7 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 9 of 21 (43%) |
| Rushing Yards | 21 | 23.0 rushing yards | Over 18.5 | 10 of 21 (48%) |
| Rushing TDs | 21 | 0.2 rushing touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 3 of 21 (14%) |
| Rush Attempts | 21 | 4.4 carries | Over 4.5 | 9 of 21 (43%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 21 | 4 of 21 (19%) | No line, yes or no | 19% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 212.5 | 15 of 21 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 247.5 | 11 of 21 (52%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 279.5 | 6 of 21 (29%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 0.5 | 17 of 21 (81%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 1.5 | 12 of 21 (57%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 2.5 | 2 of 21 (10%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Completions | Over 17.5 | 15 of 21 (71%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Completions | Over 19.5 | 12 of 21 (57%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Completions | Over 22.5 | 6 of 21 (29%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 32.5 | 15 of 21 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 34.5 | 10 of 21 (48%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 36.5 | 5 of 21 (24%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Interceptions | Over 0.5 | 9 of 21 (43%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Interceptions | Over 1.5 | 3 of 21 (14%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Interceptions | Over 2.5 | 2 of 21 (10%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 13.5 | 14 of 21 (67%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 18.5 | 10 of 21 (48%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 26.5 | 6 of 21 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market measured for Caleb Williams, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | Pass Attempts | Interceptions | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs | Rush Attempts | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 279 | 2 | 22 | 37 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 247 | 1 | 24 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-10-22 | New England Patriots | Home | 308 | 2 | 22 | 33 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 305 | 1 | 30 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Minnesota Vikings | Home | 138 | 0 | 15 | 26 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 269 | 2 | 21 | 29 | 0 | 65 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 257 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 361 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 1 | 15.0 | 15 | 20.5 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.7 |
| Pass Attempts | 1 | 26.0 | 26 | 34.4 |
| Passing TDs | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Passing Yards | 1 | 172.0 | 172 | 246.6 |
| Rush Attempts | 1 | 4.0 | 4 | 4.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Rushing Yards | 1 | -2.0 | -2 | 23.0 |
Counted from the same 21 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Passing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 138 |
| 25th percentile | 212 |
| Median | 250 |
| 75th percentile | 280 |
| Highest logged game | 361 |
11 of 21 games (52%) landed between 212 and 280; 11 (52%) finished at or above the 250 median, and the spread from 138 to 361 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Caleb Williams actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | 3 | 276.7 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 252 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 217.2 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 236.3 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 265.7 | 361 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 165.5 | 193 |
Most-faced in this log is Green Bay Packers, 3 games at 265.7, best of 361. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 250 median rather than a posted line, Caleb Williams's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 21 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pass attempts | 34.4 | 5.3 | steady | 21 |
| completions | 20.5 | 3.7 | steady | 21 |
| passing yards | 246.6 | 56.1 | steady | 21 |
| rush attempts | 4.4 | 1.8 | mixed | 21 |
| passing TDs | 1.5 | 0.9 | mixed | 21 |
| rushing yards | 23.0 | 19.2 | volatile | 21 |
Their pass attempts is the steadiest of the 6 markets measured here, averaging 34.4 with a spread of 5.3; their rushing yards swings most, 23.0 with a spread of 19.2. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Caleb Williams has gone over 247.5 passing yards in 11 of 21 logged games (52%).
At home they average 243.5 over 11 games; away, 250.1 over 10.
Caleb Williams passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 12 of 21 logged games (57%).
At home they average 1.6 over 11 games; away, 1.3 over 10.
Caleb Williams passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has gone over 19.5 completions in 12 of 21 logged games (57%).
At home they average 19.6 over 11 games; away, 21.4 over 10.
Caleb Williams completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has gone over 34.5 pass attempts in 10 of 21 logged games (48%).
At home they average 34.4 over 11 games; away, 34.5 over 10.
Caleb Williams pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 9 of 21 logged games (43%).
At home they average 1.1 over 11 games; away, 0.3 over 10.
Caleb Williams interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has gone over 18.5 rushing yards in 10 of 21 logged games (48%).
At home they average 23.8 over 11 games; away, 22.1 over 10.
Caleb Williams rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has gone over 0.5 rushing touchdowns in 3 of 21 logged games (14%).
At home they average 0.1 over 11 games; away, 0.3 over 10.
Caleb Williams rushing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has gone over 4.5 carries in 9 of 21 logged games (43%).
At home they average 4.3 over 11 games; away, 4.6 over 10.
Caleb Williams rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Caleb Williams has a anytime touchdown in 4 of 21 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 1 of 11 games; away, 3 of 10.
Caleb Williams anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Caleb Williams of the Chicago Bears. What follows is the record in Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Completions, Pass Attempts, Interceptions, Rushing Yards, Rushing TDs, Rush Attempts and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Caleb Williams, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.