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Over 14 logged NFL games, Mason Taylor has gone over 2.5 receptions 8 times (57%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 3.3 receptions across those 14 games. Their last 5 (3.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Cleveland Browns in this log they have 1 game, averaging 1.0. These are measured box-score results from New York Jets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 14 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptions | 10 of 14 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 2.5 receptions | 8 of 14 (57%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 3.5 receptions | 6 of 14 (43%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 4.5 receptions | 4 of 14 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 5.5 receptions | 1 of 14 (7%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Mason Taylor right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Mason Taylor has averaged 3.2 receptions over their last 5, against 3.3 across all 14 logged games — no meaningful move either way.
Mason Taylor's receptions varies moderately, a standard deviation of 2.2 around 3.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.2 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 3.5 receptions |
| All 14 logged games | 3.3 receptions |
| Best in the log | 9 |
| Worst in the log | 1 |
| Home (7 games) | 2.9 receptions |
| Away (7 games) | 3.7 receptions |
Mason Taylor's highest in this log is 9 receptions against the Dallas Cowboys on 2025-10-05, and the lowest is 1 against the Cleveland Browns on 2025-11-09. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 2.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 3 of 7 (43%) |
| On the road | 5 of 7 (71%) |
Mason Taylor has cleared 2.5 receptions 28 points more often on the road, 43% in 7 home games against 71% in 7 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Mason Taylor has 1 logged game against the Cleveland Browns, averaging 1.0 receptions with a high of 1. Most recent first, those games read 1. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 5 |
| 2025-11-30 | Atlanta Falcons | Home | 2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Baltimore Ravens | Home | 3 |
| 2025-11-14 | New England Patriots | Away | 4 |
| 2025-11-09 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 5 |
| 2025-10-19 | Carolina Panthers | Home | 3 |
| 2025-10-12 | Denver Broncos | Home | 1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 9 |
Every receptions prop the books have posted for Mason Taylor of the New York Jets, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Mason Taylor props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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