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Over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Matthew Golden has gone over the posted 5.5 receptions 6 times (30%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 3.8 receptions across those 20 games. Their last 5 average 7.0, 87% above their 3.8 over their last 20 games. They have gone over 5.5 in each of their last 5. Against the Minnesota Vikings in this log they have 2 games, averaging 3.5. These are measured box-score results from Green Bay Packers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the Minnesota Vikings. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 20 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receptions | 18 of 20 (90%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 2.5 receptions | 14 of 20 (70%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 3.5 receptions | 10 of 20 (50%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 5.5 receptions | 6 of 20 (30%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 6.5 receptions | 2 of 20 (10%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Matthew Golden right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Matthew Golden has averaged 7.0 receptions over their last 5, 87% above their 3.8 across all 20 logged games.
Matthew Golden's receptions vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.5 around 3.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 7.0 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 5.7 receptions |
| All 20 logged games | 3.8 receptions |
| Best in the log | 10 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (8 games) | 3.8 receptions |
| Away (12 games) | 3.8 receptions |
Matthew Golden's highest in this log is 10 receptions against the New England Patriots on 2026-11-08, and the lowest is 0 against the Chicago Bears on 2025-12-20. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 3.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 8 (50%) |
| On the road | 6 of 12 (50%) |
Matthew Golden has cleared 3.5 receptions at much the same rate home and away, 50% against 50%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Matthew Golden has 2 logged games against the Minnesota Vikings, averaging 3.5 receptions with a high of 6. Most recent first, those games read 6, 1. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | New England Patriots | Away | 10 |
| 2026-10-29 | Carolina Panthers | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions | Away | 6 |
| 2026-10-18 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 6 |
| 2026-10-11 | Chicago Bears | Home | 6 |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta Falcons | Home | 5 |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets | Away | 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 6 |
| 2026-01-11 | Chicago Bears | Away | 4 |
Every receptions prop the books have posted for Matthew Golden of the Green Bay Packers, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Matthew Golden props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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