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Over 14 logged NFL games, Mike Gesicki has gone over 2.5 receptions 6 times (43%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 2.6 receptions across those 14 games. Their last 5 average 3.0, 17% above their 2.6 across the full log. Against the Jacksonville Jaguars in this log they have 1 game, averaging 3.0. These are measured box-score results from Cincinnati Bengals games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 14 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptions | 10 of 14 (71%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 2.5 receptions | 6 of 14 (43%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 3.5 receptions | 3 of 14 (21%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 4.5 receptions | 2 of 14 (14%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 5.5 receptions | 1 of 14 (7%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Mike Gesicki right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Mike Gesicki has averaged 3.0 receptions over their last 5, 17% above their 2.6 across all 14 logged games.
Mike Gesicki's receptions varies moderately, a standard deviation of 1.5 around 2.6. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.0 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 3.0 receptions |
| All 14 logged games | 2.6 receptions |
| Best in the log | 6 |
| Worst in the log | 1 |
| Home (6 games) | 3.5 receptions |
| Away (7 games) | 1.9 receptions |
Mike Gesicki's highest in this log is 6 receptions against the Buffalo Bills on 2025-12-07, and the lowest is 1 against the Baltimore Ravens on 2025-12-14. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 2.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 6 (67%) |
| On the road | 2 of 7 (29%) |
Mike Gesicki has cleared 2.5 receptions 38 points more often at home, 67% in 6 home games against 29% in 7 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Mike Gesicki has 1 logged game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, averaging 3.0 receptions with a high of 3. Most recent first, those games read 3. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 5 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cleveland Browns | — | 2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 3 |
| 2025-12-14 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 6 |
| 2025-11-28 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 2 |
| 2025-11-23 | New England Patriots | Away | 4 |
| 2025-10-05 | Detroit Lions | Home | 2 |
Every receptions prop the books have posted for Mike Gesicki of the Cincinnati Bengals, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Mike Gesicki props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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