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Over 15 NFL games since October 2025, Zach Charbonnet has gone over the posted 60.5 rushing yards 4 times (27%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 47.9 rushing yards across those 15 games. Their last 5 average 60.8, 27% above their 47.9 over their last 15 games. These are measured box-score results from Seattle Seahawks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:05 PM ET, on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 15 | 47.9 rushing yards | Over 35.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| Rush Attempts | 15 | 10.9 carries | Over 9.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| Receptions | 15 | 1.4 receptions | Over 1.5 | 7 of 15 (47%) |
| Receiving Yards | 15 | 9.5 receiving yards | Over 6.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 25.5 | 11 of 15 (73%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 35.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 49.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 7.5 | 11 of 15 (73%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 9.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 12.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receptions | Over 0.5 | 10 of 15 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 7 of 15 (47%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 3 of 15 (20%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 0.5 | 10 of 15 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 6.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 12.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market Zach Charbonnet is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receptions | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 77 | 16 | 1 | 9 |
| 2026-11-02 | Chicago Bears | Home | 23 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 2026-01-17 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | 74 | 17 | 3 | 23 |
| 2025-12-28 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 110 | 18 | 2 | 12 |
| 2025-12-18 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 32 | 9 | 4 | 22 |
| 2025-12-14 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 46 | 7 | 2 | 20 |
Counted from the same 15 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 20 |
| 25th percentile | 25 |
| Median | 37 |
| 75th percentile | 74 |
| Highest logged game | 110 |
9 of 15 games (60%) landed between 25 and 74; 8 (53%) finished at or above the 37 median, and the spread from 20 to 110 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Zach Charbonnet actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| December 2025 | 4 | 54.8 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 46.4 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 80 | 83 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 47 | 74 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 34.5 | 37 |
Most-faced in this log is Arizona Cardinals, 2 games at 80, best of 83. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 37 median rather than a posted line, Zach Charbonnet's longest run at or above it is 2 games and the run open at the newest of the 15 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 10.9 | 4.1 | mixed | 15 |
| rushing yards | 47.9 | 25.8 | mixed | 15 |
| receiving yards | 9.5 | 8.5 | volatile | 15 |
| receptions | 1.4 | 1.3 | volatile | 15 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 4 markets measured here, averaging 10.9 with a spread of 4.1; their receptions swings most, 1.4 with a spread of 1.3. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Zach Charbonnet has gone over 35.5 rushing yards in 8 of 15 logged games (53%).
At home they average 45.9 over 8 games; away, 50.1 over 7.
Zach Charbonnet rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Zach Charbonnet has gone over 9.5 carries in 8 of 15 logged games (53%).
At home they average 10.5 over 8 games; away, 11.3 over 7.
Zach Charbonnet rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Zach Charbonnet has gone over 1.5 receptions in 7 of 15 logged games (47%).
At home they average 1.3 over 8 games; away, 1.6 over 7.
Zach Charbonnet receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Zach Charbonnet has gone over 6.5 receiving yards in 8 of 15 logged games (53%).
At home they average 5.4 over 8 games; away, 14.1 over 7.
Zach Charbonnet receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Zach Charbonnet of the Seattle Seahawks. The books are currently pricing Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receptions and Receiving Yards lines for Zach Charbonnet, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receptions and Receiving Yards. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.