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With no line posted, over 22 NFL games since October 2025, Sam Darnold has gone over a balanced line of 213.5 passing yards 11 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 225.1 passing yards across those 22 games. Their last 5 (217.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Seattle Seahawks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:05 PM ET, on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 2, 13 days before.
| Line | All 22 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 128.5 passing yards | 19 of 22 (86%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 188.5 passing yards | 15 of 22 (68%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 213.5 passing yards | 11 of 22 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 270.5 passing yards | 7 of 22 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 295.5 passing yards | 3 of 22 (14%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Sam Darnold right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Sam Darnold has averaged 217.2 passing yards over their last 5, against 225.1 across all 22 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Sam Darnold's passing yards vary moderately, a standard deviation of 81.4 around 225.1. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 217.2 passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 215.0 passing yards |
| All 22 logged games | 225.1 passing yards |
| Best in the log | 379 |
| Worst in the log | 13 |
| Home (12 games) | 195.9 passing yards |
| Away (10 games) | 260.1 passing yards |
Sam Darnold's highest in this log is 379 passing yards against the Washington Commanders on 2026-09-27, and the lowest is 13 against the New England Patriots on 2026-09-09. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 213.5 passing yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 12 (33%) |
| On the road | 7 of 10 (70%) |
Sam Darnold has cleared 213.5 passing yards 37 points more often on the road, 33% in 12 home games against 70% in 10 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Chicago Bears | Home | 188 |
| 2026-10-25 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 257 |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos | Away | 278 |
| 2026-10-11 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 195 |
| 2026-10-04 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 168 |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders | Away | 379 |
| 2026-09-09 | New England Patriots | Home | 13 |
| 2026-02-08 | New England Patriots | Away | 202 |
| 2026-01-25 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 346 |
| 2026-01-17 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 124 |
Sam Darnold of the Seattle Seahawks in passing yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Sam Darnold props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.