This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
With no line posted, over 84 NBA games since October 2025, Davion Mitchell has gone over a balanced line of 10.5 points 42 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 9 times (90%). They average 10.7 points across those 84 games. Their last 5 average 19.0, 13% above their 16.8 this season (13 games). They have gone over 10.5 in each of their last 8. These are measured box-score results from Miami Heat games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | 84 | 6.9 assists | Over 6.5 | 42 of 84 (50%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | 84 | 1.5 three-pointers | Over 1.5 | 40 of 84 (48%) |
| Points | 84 | 10.7 points | Over 10.5 | 42 of 84 (50%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 84 | 20.2 combined points, rebounds and assists | Over 20.5 | 43 of 84 (51%) |
| Rebounds | 84 | 2.6 rebounds | Over 2.5 | 39 of 84 (46%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | Over 5.5 | 55 of 84 (65%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Assists | Over 6.5 | 42 of 84 (50%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Assists | Over 8.5 | 26 of 84 (31%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 0.5 | 60 of 84 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 1.5 | 40 of 84 (48%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | 19 of 84 (23%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Points | Over 8.5 | 55 of 84 (65%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Points | Over 10.5 | 42 of 84 (50%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Points | Over 12.5 | 28 of 84 (33%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 16.5 | 56 of 84 (67%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 20.5 | 43 of 84 (51%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 22.5 | 27 of 84 (32%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rebounds | Over 1.5 | 62 of 84 (74%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rebounds | Over 2.5 | 39 of 84 (46%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rebounds | Over 3.5 | 21 of 84 (25%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Every market Davion Mitchell is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Assists | 3-Pointers Made | Points | Points + Rebounds + Assists | Rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 9 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 4 |
| 2026-11-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Home | 17 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 5 |
| 2026-11-10 | Utah Jazz | Away | 8 | 3 | 19 | 32 | 5 |
| 2026-11-08 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 11 | 2 | 17 | 31 | 3 |
| 2026-11-05 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 8 | 4 | 22 | 32 | 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | LA Clippers | Away | 10 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles Lakers | Away | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 2026-10-30 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 11 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 6 |
Counted from the same 84 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 8 |
| Median | 10 |
| 75th percentile | 14 |
| Highest logged game | 28 |
44 of 84 games (52%) landed between 8 and 14; 48 (57%) finished at or above the 10 median, and the spread from 0 to 28 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Davion Mitchell actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 7 | 17.3 |
| October 2026 | 6 | 16.2 |
| April 2026 | 6 | 16.2 |
| March 2026 | 15 | 9.4 |
| February 2026 | 10 | 8.4 |
| January 2026 | 9 | 7.9 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 13 | 11.4 |
| 2 days | 46 | 10.5 |
| 3 to 4 days | 19 | 10.6 |
| 5 or more days | 5 | 10 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets | 6 | 14 | 28 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 5 | 12.4 | 22 |
| Detroit Pistons | 5 | 11.2 | 18 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 5 | 7.8 | 12 |
| Orlando Magic | 4 | 12.8 | 16 |
| New York Knicks | 4 | 12.8 | 18 |
Most-faced in this log is Charlotte Hornets, 6 games at 14, best of 28. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 10 median rather than a posted line, Davion Mitchell's longest run at or above it is 16 games and the run open at the newest of the 84 is 16. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| points + rebounds + assists | 20.2 | 7.4 | mixed | 84 |
| assists | 6.9 | 2.9 | mixed | 84 |
| points | 10.7 | 5.5 | mixed | 84 |
| rebounds | 2.6 | 1.7 | mixed | 84 |
| 3-pointers made | 1.5 | 1.3 | volatile | 84 |
Their points + rebounds + assists is the steadiest of the 5 markets measured here, averaging 20.2 with a spread of 7.4; their 3-pointers made swings most, 1.5 with a spread of 1.3. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Davion Mitchell has gone over 6.5 assists in 42 of 84 logged games (50%).
At home they average 6.3 over 41 games; away, 7.4 over 43.
Davion Mitchell assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Davion Mitchell has gone over 1.5 three-pointers in 40 of 84 logged games (48%).
At home they average 1.6 over 41 games; away, 1.4 over 43.
Davion Mitchell 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Davion Mitchell has gone over 10.5 points in 42 of 84 logged games (50%).
At home they average 10.9 over 41 games; away, 10.5 over 43.
Davion Mitchell points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Davion Mitchell has gone over 20.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 43 of 84 logged games (51%).
At home they average 20.0 over 41 games; away, 20.4 over 43.
Davion Mitchell points + rebounds + assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Davion Mitchell has gone over 2.5 rebounds in 39 of 84 logged games (46%).
At home they average 2.8 over 41 games; away, 2.5 over 43.
Davion Mitchell rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Davion Mitchell of the Miami Heat. The books are currently pricing Assists, 3-Pointers Made, Points, Points + Rebounds + Assists and Rebounds lines for Davion Mitchell, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
Whatever the books have priced: currently Assists, 3-Pointers Made, Points, Points + Rebounds + Assists and Rebounds. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.