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Over 16 logged NFL games, Brashard Smith has gone over 2.5 receiving yards 9 times (56%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 11.0 receiving yards across those 16 games. Their last 5 average 3.0, 73% below their 11.0 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from Kansas City Chiefs games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 16 | 9.4 rushing yards | Over 4.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) |
| Rush Attempts | 16 | 2.8 carries | Over 1.5 | 7 of 16 (44%) |
| Receiving Yards | 16 | 11.0 receiving yards | Over 2.5 | 9 of 16 (56%) |
| Receptions | 16 | 1.6 receptions | Over 1.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) |
| Targets | 16 | 2.3 targets | Over 1.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) |
Every market Brashard Smith is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Las Vegas Raiders | — | 56 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2025-12-26 | Denver Broncos | Away | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2025-12-21 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Houston Texans | Home | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 5 | 1 | 31 | 3 | 4 |
| 2025-11-16 | Denver Broncos | Home | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
Counted from the same 16 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 4 |
| 75th percentile | 21 |
| Highest logged game | 42 |
12 of 16 games (75%) landed between 0 and 21; 9 (56%) finished at or above the 4 median, and the spread from 0 to 42 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Brashard Smith actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| December 2025 | 4 | 2.3 |
| November 2025 | 3 | 13 |
| October 2025 | 4 | 23.8 |
| September 2025 | 3 | 9 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 22 | 42 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 6.5 | 8 |
Most-faced in this log is Las Vegas Raiders, 2 games at 22, best of 42. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 4 median rather than a posted line, Brashard Smith's longest run at or above it is 4 games and the run open at the newest of the 16 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster — not when the next one is.
Brashard Smith has gone over 4.5 rushing yards in 8 of 16 logged games (50%).
At home they average 8.1 over 8 games; away, 4.3 over 7.
Brashard Smith rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brashard Smith has gone over 1.5 carries in 7 of 16 logged games (44%).
At home they average 2.9 over 8 games; away, 1.3 over 7.
Brashard Smith rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brashard Smith has gone over 2.5 receiving yards in 9 of 16 logged games (56%).
At home they average 12.8 over 8 games; away, 10.3 over 7.
Brashard Smith receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brashard Smith has gone over 1.5 receptions in 8 of 16 logged games (50%).
At home they average 1.8 over 8 games; away, 1.4 over 7.
Brashard Smith receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brashard Smith has gone over 1.5 targets in 8 of 16 logged games (50%).
At home they average 2.3 over 8 games; away, 2.0 over 7.
Brashard Smith targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Brashard Smith of the Kansas City Chiefs. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions and Targets: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price — when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Not while the NFL board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market — the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.