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Over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Cam Ward has gone over the posted 0.5 passing touchdowns 14 times (70%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 0.9 passing touchdowns across those 20 games. Their last 5 average 0.8, 16% below their 0.9 over their last 20 games. Against the Jacksonville Jaguars in this log they have 2 games, averaging 0.0. These are measured box-score results from Tennessee Titans games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Last logged game November 1, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 20 | 0.5 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 9 of 20 (45%) |
| Pass Attempts | 20 | 31.2 pass attempts | Over 32.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) |
| Completions | 20 | 19.6 completions | Over 20.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) |
| Passing TDs | 20 | 0.9 passing touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | 20 | 11.8 rushing yards | Over 6.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | Over 0.5 | 9 of 20 (45%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 28.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 32.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 37.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Completions | Over 18.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Completions | Over 20.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Completions | Over 23.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 0.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 1.5 | 5 of 20 (25%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 2.5 | 15 of 20 (75%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 6.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 10.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Every market Cam Ward is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Interceptions | Pass Attempts | Completions | Passing TDs | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 0 | 40 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
| 2026-10-25 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 1 | 31 | 20 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026-10-18 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 1 | 22 | 11 | 1 | 7 |
| 2026-10-11 | Houston Texans | Home | 1 | 36 | 23 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 1 | 31 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants | Away | 1 | 36 | 23 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 0 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026-09-13 | New York Jets | Home | 0 | 32 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 2 | 13.5 | 24 | 19.6 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Pass Attempts | 2 | 20.5 | 38 | 31.2 |
| Passing TDs | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 2 | 9.0 | 11 | 11.8 |
Counted from the same 20 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Passing TDs |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 1 |
| 75th percentile | 1 |
| Highest logged game | 2 |
15 of 20 games (75%) landed between 0 and 1; 14 (70%) finished at or above the 1 median, and the spread from 0 to 2 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Cam Ward actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 0.5 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 0.7 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 2 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 0.5 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 1 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Houston Texans | 2 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Most-faced in this log is Cleveland Browns, 2 games at 1, best of 2. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 1 median rather than a posted line, Cam Ward's longest run at or above it is 4 games and the run open at the newest of the 20 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pass attempts | 31.2 | 9.0 | steady | 20 |
| completions | 19.6 | 6.1 | steady | 20 |
| rushing yards | 11.8 | 12.5 | volatile | 20 |
Their pass attempts is the steadiest of the 3 markets measured here, averaging 31.2 with a spread of 9.0; their rushing yards swings most, 11.8 with a spread of 12.5. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Cam Ward has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 9 of 20 logged games (45%).
At home they average 0.3 over 11 games; away, 0.7 over 9.
Cam Ward interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Cam Ward has gone over 32.5 pass attempts in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).
At home they average 32.6 over 11 games; away, 29.4 over 9.
Cam Ward pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Cam Ward has gone over 20.5 completions in 11 of 20 logged games (55%).
At home they average 20.9 over 11 games; away, 18.1 over 9.
Cam Ward completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Cam Ward has gone over 0.5 passing touchdowns in 14 of 20 logged games (70%).
At home they average 0.7 over 11 games; away, 1.2 over 9.
Cam Ward passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Cam Ward has gone over 6.5 rushing yards in 11 of 20 logged games (55%).
At home they average 12.5 over 11 games; away, 10.9 over 9.
Cam Ward rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Cam Ward of the Tennessee Titans. The books are currently pricing Interceptions, Pass Attempts, Completions, Passing TDs and Rushing Yards lines for Cam Ward, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Interceptions, Pass Attempts, Completions, Passing TDs and Rushing Yards. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.