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Over 10 logged NFL games, Michael Penix Jr. has gone over 28.5 pass attempts 5 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 30.1 pass attempts across those 10 games. Their last 5 (28.8) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone under 28.5 in each of their last 3. Against the Green Bay Packers in this log they have 1 game, averaging 25.0. These are measured box-score results from Atlanta Falcons games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 10 | 0.4 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Completions | 10 | 18.4 completions | Over 18.5 | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Passing TDs | 10 | 1.0 passing touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Pass Attempts | 10 | 30.1 pass attempts | Over 28.5 | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Every market Michael Penix Jr. is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Interceptions | Completions | Passing TDs | Pass Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers | Away | 1 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
| 2025-11-16 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 0 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 2025-11-09 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 0 | 12 | 1 | 28 |
| 2025-11-02 | New England Patriots | Away | 0 | 22 | 3 | 37 |
| 2025-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 0 | 21 | 1 | 38 |
| 2025-10-13 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 0 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
| 2025-09-28 | Washington Commanders | Home | 1 | 20 | 2 | 26 |
| 2025-09-21 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 2 | 18 | 0 | 36 |
Counted from the same 10 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Pass Attempts |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 16 |
| 25th percentile | 25 |
| Median | 28 |
| 75th percentile | 37 |
| Highest logged game | 42 |
6 of 10 games (60%) landed between 25 and 37; 6 (60%) finished at or above the 28 median, and the spread from 16 to 42 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Michael Penix Jr. actually recorded.
Michael Penix Jr. has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 3 of 10 logged games (30%).
At home they average 0.3 over 4 games; away, 0.5 over 6.
Michael Penix Jr. interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Michael Penix Jr. has gone over 18.5 completions in 5 of 10 logged games (50%).
At home they average 20.0 over 4 games; away, 17.3 over 6.
Michael Penix Jr. completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Michael Penix Jr. has gone over 0.5 passing touchdowns in 7 of 10 logged games (70%).
At home they average 1.3 over 4 games; away, 0.8 over 6.
Michael Penix Jr. passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Michael Penix Jr. has gone over 28.5 pass attempts in 5 of 10 logged games (50%).
At home they average 33.5 over 4 games; away, 27.8 over 6.
Michael Penix Jr. pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Michael Penix Jr. of the Atlanta Falcons. The books are currently pricing Interceptions, Completions, Passing TDs and Pass Attempts lines for Michael Penix Jr., and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, shrunk toward a league prior so a hot fortnight cannot pass for an edge, then compared with the price. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because a NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played — no projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins — this is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced — currently Interceptions, Completions, Passing TDs and Pass Attempts. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, shrunk toward a league prior so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.