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Over 11 logged NFL games, Joe Burrow has gone over 24.5 completions 6 times (55%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 22.4 completions across those 11 games. Their last 5 average 25.2, 13% above their 22.4 across the full log. Against the Jacksonville Jaguars in this log they have 1 game, averaging 7.0. These are measured box-score results from Cincinnati Bengals games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 11 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 completions | 9 of 11 (82%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 20.5 completions | 8 of 11 (73%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 24.5 completions | 6 of 11 (55%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 25.5 completions | 2 of 11 (18%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 26.5 completions | 2 of 11 (18%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Joe Burrow right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Joe Burrow has averaged 25.2 completions over their last 5, 13% above their 22.4 across all 11 logged games.
Joe Burrow's completions clusters tightly around it — most games land within 6.2 of 22.4. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 25.2 completions |
| Last 10 games | 23.2 completions |
| All 11 logged games | 22.4 completions |
| Best in the log | 29 |
| Worst in the log | 7 |
| Home (5 games) | 21.2 completions |
| Away (5 games) | 22.2 completions |
Joe Burrow's highest in this log is 29 completions against the Cleveland Browns on 2026-01-04, and the lowest is 7 against the Jacksonville Jaguars on 2025-09-14. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 24.5 completions |
|---|---|
| At home | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| On the road | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Joe Burrow has cleared 24.5 completions 20 points more often at home, 60% in 5 home games against 40% in 5 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Joe Burrow has 1 logged game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, averaging 7.0 completions with a high of 7. Most recent first, those games read 7. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 28 |
| 2026-09-20 | Houston Texans | Away | 20 |
| 2026-09-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 25 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cleveland Browns | — | 29 |
| 2025-12-28 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 24 |
| 2025-12-21 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 25 |
| 2025-12-14 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 25 |
| 2025-12-07 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 25 |
| 2025-11-28 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 24 |
| 2025-09-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 7 |
Every completions prop the books have posted for Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Joe Burrow props and hit rates · Every NFL completions prop
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