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Over 14 logged NFL games, Brock Purdy has gone over 20.5 completions 7 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 20.7 completions across those 14 games. Their last 5 average 18.6, 10% below their 20.7 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from San Francisco 49ers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 14 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 completions | 12 of 14 (86%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 18.5 completions | 10 of 14 (71%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 20.5 completions | 7 of 14 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 23.5 completions | 4 of 14 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 24.5 completions | 3 of 14 (21%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Brock Purdy right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Brock Purdy has averaged 18.6 completions over their last 5, 10% below their 20.7 across all 14 logged games.
Brock Purdy's completions clusters tightly around it — most games land within 3.7 of 20.7. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 18.6 completions |
| Last 10 games | 20.0 completions |
| All 14 logged games | 20.7 completions |
| Best in the log | 26 |
| Worst in the log | 15 |
| Home (6 games) | 21.5 completions |
| Away (7 games) | 20.3 completions |
Brock Purdy's highest in this log is 26 completions against the Seattle Seahawks on 2025-09-07, and the lowest is 15 against the Arizona Cardinals on 2026-09-27. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 20.5 completions |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 6 (67%) |
| On the road | 3 of 7 (43%) |
Brock Purdy has cleared 20.5 completions 24 points more often at home, 67% in 6 home games against 43% in 7 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 15 |
| 2026-09-20 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 20 |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 25 |
| 2026-01-18 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 15 |
| 2026-01-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 18 |
| 2026-01-04 | Seattle Seahawks | — | 19 |
| 2025-12-29 | Chicago Bears | Home | 24 |
| 2025-12-23 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 25 |
| 2025-12-14 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 23 |
| 2025-11-30 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 16 |
Every completions prop the books have posted for Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Brock Purdy props and hit rates · Every NFL completions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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