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Over 21 NFL games since October 2025, Aaron Rodgers has gone over the posted 240.5 passing yards 7 times (33%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 216.8 passing yards across those 21 games. Their last 5 (234.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Cincinnati Bengals in this log they have 3 games, averaging 219.0. These are measured box-score results from Pittsburgh Steelers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 8:20 PM ET, on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals. Last logged game November 1, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 21 | 216.8 passing yards | Over 219.5 | 11 of 21 (52%) |
| Interceptions | 21 | 0.5 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 8 of 21 (38%) |
| Pass Attempts | 21 | 33.9 pass attempts | Over 33.5 | 12 of 21 (57%) |
| Completions | 21 | 21.2 completions | Over 22.5 | 10 of 21 (48%) |
| Passing TDs | 21 | 1.4 passing touchdowns | Over 1.5 | 8 of 21 (38%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 172.5 | 15 of 21 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 219.5 | 11 of 21 (52%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 249.5 | 6 of 21 (29%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Interceptions | Over 0.5 | 8 of 21 (38%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Interceptions | Over 1.5 | 3 of 21 (14%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 30.5 | 15 of 21 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 33.5 | 12 of 21 (57%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 36.5 | 7 of 21 (33%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Completions | Over 19.5 | 14 of 21 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Completions | Over 22.5 | 10 of 21 (48%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Completions | Over 23.5 | 6 of 21 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 0.5 | 16 of 21 (76%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 1.5 | 8 of 21 (38%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 2.5 | 4 of 21 (19%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market Aaron Rodgers is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards | Interceptions | Pass Attempts | Completions | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 172 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints | Away | 212 | 0 | 30 | 19 | 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 253 | 1 | 49 | 33 | 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 235 | 0 | 31 | 22 | 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 299 | 2 | 40 | 22 | 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | 292 | 1 | 34 | 19 | 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | New England Patriots | Away | 187 | 1 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Atlanta Falcons | Home | 221 | 0 | 40 | 24 | 1 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 3 | 17.0 | 23 | 21.2 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Pass Attempts | 3 | 27.7 | 34 | 33.9 |
| Passing TDs | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | 1.4 |
| Passing Yards | 3 | 219.0 | 292 | 216.8 |
Counted from the same 21 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Passing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 116 |
| 25th percentile | 172 |
| Median | 221 |
| 75th percentile | 253 |
| Highest logged game | 299 |
11 of 21 games (52%) landed between 172 and 253; 11 (52%) finished at or above the 221 median, and the spread from 116 to 299 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Aaron Rodgers actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 249.8 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 233.3 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 235.5 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 149.3 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 234.3 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 218.5 | 299 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 219 | 292 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 289 | 294 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 219 | 235 |
Most-faced in this log is Cleveland Browns, 4 games at 218.5, best of 299. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 221 median rather than a posted line, Aaron Rodgers's longest run at or above it is 4 games and the run open at the newest of the 21 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pass attempts | 33.9 | 7.8 | steady | 21 |
| passing yards | 216.8 | 54.4 | steady | 21 |
| completions | 21.2 | 5.8 | steady | 21 |
| passing TDs | 1.4 | 1.1 | volatile | 21 |
Their pass attempts is the steadiest of the 4 markets measured here, averaging 33.9 with a spread of 7.8; their passing TDs swings most, 1.4 with a spread of 1.1. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Aaron Rodgers has gone over 219.5 passing yards in 11 of 21 logged games (52%).
At home they average 206.2 over 12 games; away, 231.0 over 9.
Aaron Rodgers passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Aaron Rodgers has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 8 of 21 logged games (38%).
At home they average 0.3 over 12 games; away, 0.9 over 9.
Aaron Rodgers interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Aaron Rodgers has gone over 33.5 pass attempts in 12 of 21 logged games (57%).
At home they average 31.2 over 12 games; away, 37.4 over 9.
Aaron Rodgers pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Aaron Rodgers has gone over 22.5 completions in 10 of 21 logged games (48%).
At home they average 19.8 over 12 games; away, 23.0 over 9.
Aaron Rodgers completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Aaron Rodgers has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 8 of 21 logged games (38%).
At home they average 1.3 over 12 games; away, 1.4 over 9.
Aaron Rodgers passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Aaron Rodgers of the Pittsburgh Steelers. The books are currently pricing Passing Yards, Interceptions, Pass Attempts, Completions and Passing TDs lines for Aaron Rodgers, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Passing Yards, Interceptions, Pass Attempts, Completions and Passing TDs. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.