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Over 21 NFL games since October 2025, Aaron Rodgers has gone over the posted 21.5 completions 12 times (57%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 21.2 completions across those 21 games. Their last 5 (21.8) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Cincinnati Bengals in this log they have 3 games, averaging 17.0. These are measured box-score results from Pittsburgh Steelers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 8:20 PM ET, on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals. Last logged game November 1, 14 days before.
| Line | All 21 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 completions | 18 of 21 (86%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 19.5 completions | 14 of 21 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 22.5 completions | 10 of 21 (48%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 23.5 completions | 6 of 21 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 25.5 completions | 3 of 21 (14%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Aaron Rodgers right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Aaron Rodgers has averaged 21.8 completions over their last 5, against 21.2 across all 21 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Aaron Rodgers's completions cluster tightly around it: most games land within 5.8 of 21.2. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 21.8 completions |
| Last 10 games | 22.3 completions |
| All 21 logged games | 21.2 completions |
| Best in the log | 33 |
| Worst in the log | 9 |
| Home (12 games) | 19.8 completions |
| Away (9 games) | 23.0 completions |
Aaron Rodgers's highest in this log is 33 completions against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on 2026-10-18, and the lowest is 9 against the Cincinnati Bengals on 2025-11-16. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 22.5 completions |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 12 (42%) |
| On the road | 5 of 9 (56%) |
Aaron Rodgers has cleared 22.5 completions 14 points more often on the road, 42% in 12 home games against 56% in 9 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Aaron Rodgers has 3 logged games against the Cincinnati Bengals, averaging 17.0 completions with a high of 23. Most recent first, those games read 19, 9, 23. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 13 |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints | Away | 19 |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 33 |
| 2026-10-11 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 22 |
| 2026-10-01 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 22 |
| 2026-09-27 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | 19 |
| 2026-09-20 | New England Patriots | Away | 23 |
| 2026-09-13 | Atlanta Falcons | Home | 24 |
| 2026-01-13 | Houston Texans | Home | 17 |
| 2026-01-04 | Baltimore Ravens | Home | 31 |
Every completions prop the books have posted for Aaron Rodgers of the Pittsburgh Steelers, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Aaron Rodgers props and hit rates · Every NFL completions prop
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