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Over 14 logged NFL games, Brock Purdy has gone over 30.5 pass attempts 7 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 30.4 pass attempts across those 14 games. Their last 5 (28.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from San Francisco 49ers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing TDs | 14 | 2.2 passing touchdowns | Over 2.5 | 6 of 14 (43%) |
| Passing Yards | 14 | 239.9 passing yards | Over 262.5 | 7 of 14 (50%) |
| Interceptions | 14 | 1.0 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 9 of 14 (64%) |
| Rush Attempts | 14 | 4.1 carries | Over 3.5 | 7 of 14 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | 14 | 30.4 pass attempts | Over 30.5 | 7 of 14 (50%) |
| Completions | 14 | 20.7 completions | Over 20.5 | 7 of 14 (50%) |
Every market Brock Purdy is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing TDs | Passing Yards | Interceptions | Rush Attempts | Pass Attempts | Completions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 4 | 297 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 |
| 2026-09-20 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 2 | 287 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 3 | 205 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 25 |
| 2026-01-18 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 0 | 140 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 15 |
| 2026-01-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 2 | 262 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 18 |
| 2026-01-04 | Seattle Seahawks | — | 0 | 127 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 19 |
| 2025-12-29 | Chicago Bears | Home | 3 | 303 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 24 |
| 2025-12-23 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 5 | 295 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 25 |
Counted from the same 14 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Pass Attempts |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 22 |
| 25th percentile | 27 |
| Median | 30 |
| 75th percentile | 34 |
| Highest logged game | 38 |
10 of 14 games (71%) landed between 27 and 34; 8 (57%) finished at or above the 30 median, and the spread from 22 to 38 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Brock Purdy actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 3 | 27.7 |
| January 2026 | 3 | 28.3 |
| December 2025 | 3 | 32.3 |
| November 2025 | 3 | 29 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 29.7 | 35 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 26.5 | 27 |
Most-faced in this log is Seattle Seahawks, 3 games at 29.7, best of 35. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 30 median rather than a posted line, Brock Purdy's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 14 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster — not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pass attempts | 30.4 | 4.2 | steady | 14 |
| completions | 20.7 | 3.7 | steady | 14 |
| passing yards | 239.9 | 62.7 | steady | 14 |
| rush attempts | 4.1 | 2.3 | mixed | 14 |
| passing TDs | 2.2 | 1.4 | mixed | 14 |
| interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | volatile | 14 |
Their pass attempts is the steadiest of the 6 markets measured here, averaging 30.4 with a spread of 4.2; their interceptions swings most, 1.0 with a spread of 0.9. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Brock Purdy has gone over 2.5 passing touchdowns in 6 of 14 logged games (43%).
At home they average 2.8 over 6 games; away, 2.0 over 7.
Brock Purdy passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brock Purdy has gone over 262.5 passing yards in 7 of 14 logged games (50%).
At home they average 280.7 over 6 games; away, 221.0 over 7.
Brock Purdy passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brock Purdy has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 9 of 14 logged games (64%).
At home they average 1.2 over 6 games; away, 0.9 over 7.
Brock Purdy interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brock Purdy has gone over 3.5 carries in 7 of 14 logged games (50%).
At home they average 3.5 over 6 games; away, 4.9 over 7.
Brock Purdy rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brock Purdy has gone over 30.5 pass attempts in 7 of 14 logged games (50%).
At home they average 31.0 over 6 games; away, 30.3 over 7.
Brock Purdy pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Brock Purdy has gone over 20.5 completions in 7 of 14 logged games (50%).
At home they average 21.5 over 6 games; away, 20.3 over 7.
Brock Purdy completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers. The books are currently pricing Passing TDs, Passing Yards, Interceptions, Rush Attempts, Pass Attempts and Completions lines for Brock Purdy, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, shrunk toward a league prior so a hot fortnight cannot pass for an edge, then compared with the price. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because a NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Passing TDs, Passing Yards, Interceptions, Rush Attempts, Pass Attempts and Completions. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, shrunk toward a league prior so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.